TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ondrej Fiklik vs Marek Kulisek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118611911––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:15 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · Marek Kulisek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 58.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 95–92 Marek Kulisek Marek Kulisek has won 92 of their 187 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 11h before this match
Fiklik beat Kulisek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kulisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
95-92 in 187
Fiklik
Wrong
gap of 3 in 187, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fiklik 1604 vs Kulisek 1649
Kulisek
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiklik 40% vs Kulisek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiklik 60% vs Kulisek 40%
Fiklik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiklik -1 · Kulisek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kulisek) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 2.10 / Kulisek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kulisek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13205624
Fiklik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 107 of 264
Down 0–1, comes back23% 34 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back13% 12 of 93
Kulisek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 54 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it75% 39 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFiklik5wins
AwayKulisek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiklik100%3 of 3
AwayKulisek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiklik3Kulisek7n = 10Kulisek took 7 of 10
S2Fiklik5Kulisek5n = 10split evenly
S3Fiklik4Kulisek6n = 10Kulisek took 6 of 10
S4Fiklik3Kulisek1n = 4Fiklik took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiklikKulisekF − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.731.1−0.4per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikKulisekBasisWin rate · lifetime559 / 1215 vs 390 / 86746%45%559 / 1215 vs 390 / 867Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikFiklik 2.10/Kulisek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 19:25O. Fiklik33711691M. Kulisek4111811113
WSep 27 · 08:50O. Fiklik331111113M. Kulisek227870
LSep 9 · 18:50O. Fiklik186660M. Kulisek331111113
WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik50971211113M. Kulisek45111110672
WSep 2 · 19:20O. Fiklik4111118113M. Kulisek21421141
WAug 29 · 16:25O. Fiklik331111113M. Kulisek195950
LAug 27 · 20:25O. Fiklik195680M. Kulisek331111113
WAug 26 · 15:55O. Fiklik4291111113M. Kulisek29113691
LAug 23 · 18:55O. Fiklik188460M. Kulisek331111113
LAug 22 · 21:59O. Fiklik2063110M. Kulisek351111133
O. Fiklik10
WSep 27 · 20:25P. Vanek1.6111750O. Fiklik2.201311113LSep 27 · 09:48O. Fiklik1.73127961M. Sulc2.00101111113WSep 27 · 08:50M. Kulisek1.807870O. Fiklik1.911111113WSep 27 · 07:50O. Fiklik1.671011155113M. Sulc2.10126131152LSep 27 · 06:20A. Langer2.20811119113O. Fiklik1.6111651182LSep 25 · 18:35A. Kosacky1.501113143O. Fiklik2.45511120WSep 25 · 16:55O. Fiklik1.531111113M. Sochor2.387780WSep 25 · 15:55O. Fiklik1.6711133113M. Sulc2.105111181LSep 25 · 14:55O. Fiklik2.50710100A. Kosacky1.501112123WSep 24 · 10:45V. Hejda Jr2.25811111092O. Fiklik1.57119612113
M. Kulisek10
WSep 27 · 19:55A. Kosacky1.444640M. Kulisek2.631111113WSep 27 · 09:19M. Kulisek1.30913911113A. Langer3.40111111462LSep 27 · 08:50M. Kulisek1.807870O. Fiklik1.911111113WSep 27 · 07:20A. Langer2.758101171M. Kulisek1.4011128113LSep 27 · 06:50M. Sulc2.2011127113M. Kulisek1.616101171LSep 13 · 21:59D. Bochnak1.201112113M. Kulisek4.3321060LSep 13 · 20:55M. Kulisek4.336720D. Bochnak1.201111113WSep 13 · 19:55M. Kulisek2.00411811113M. Cerny1.7311911542LSep 13 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.1012115652J. Zacharda1.671081111113LSep 9 · 21:50M. Kulisek2.0078100M. Brozek1.731111123
Upcoming Matches
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M. Kulisek
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