TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Kosacky vs Petr Vanek 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119118111117
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:35 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timePetr Vanek to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Kosacky above · Petr Vanek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 89 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Petr Vanek at 64.8%
89 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kosacky 6–14 Petr Vanek Adam Kosacky has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:35What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vanek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-14 in 20
Vanek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosacky 1613 vs Vanek 1745
Vanek
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosacky 40% vs Vanek 80%
Vanek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosacky 40% vs Vanek 70%
Vanek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosacky -3 · Vanek +1
Kosacky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vanek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosacky 2.25 / Vanek 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Vanek)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13205473
Kosacky2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 25 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Vanek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 40 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosacky5wins
AwayVanek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosacky100%3 of 3
AwayVanek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosacky3Vanek7n = 10Vanek took 7 of 10
S2Kosacky5Vanek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kosacky4Vanek6n = 10Vanek took 6 of 10
S4Kosacky3Vanek4n = 7Vanek took 4 of 7
S5Kosacky4Vanek1n = 5Kosacky took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosackyVanekK − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.8−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosackyVanekBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 594 vs 180 / 32955.2%54.7%328 / 594 vs 180 / 329Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanekKosacky 2.25/Vanek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.8%
Vanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosacky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 15:25A. Kosacky32931191P. Vanek3811115113
LMay 8 · 19:55A. Kosacky196490P. Vanek331111113
LMay 2 · 22:35A. Kosacky32811491P. Vanek3711411113
WMay 2 · 21:25A. Kosacky48911611113P. Vanek4711811892
WApr 26 · 22:25A. Kosacky521111109113P. Vanek4295121152
LApr 26 · 18:55A. Kosacky4247111462P. Vanek511111612113
WApr 19 · 22:09A. Kosacky47119115113P. Vanek4561191182
LApr 19 · 20:55A. Kosacky228770P. Vanek331111113
WApr 3 · 20:55A. Kosacky42411511113P. Vanek4111611672
WMar 30 · 15:25A. Kosacky331111113P. Vanek219750
A. Kosacky10
LSep 27 · 19:55A. Kosacky1.444640M. Kulisek2.631111113LSep 26 · 22:00A. Kosacky1.7387121152M. Prochazka2.001111107113LSep 26 · 20:55P. Dvorak1.6771111113A. Kosacky2.10118671LSep 26 · 20:25M. Brozek2.5091311123A. Kosacky1.5011112101WSep 26 · 19:25A. Kosacky1.911111113M. Prochazka1.807860WSep 25 · 18:35A. Kosacky1.501113143O. Fiklik2.45511120WSep 25 · 17:25M. Sulc3.5011118962A. Kosacky1.28931111113LSep 25 · 16:25A. Kosacky1.2811119862M. Sochor3.50671111113WSep 25 · 14:55O. Fiklik2.50710100A. Kosacky1.501112123LSep 25 · 14:04A. Rek1.83111423113A. Kosacky1.83812111192
P. Vanek10
LSep 27 · 20:25P. Vanek1.6111750O. Fiklik2.201311113WSep 22 · 18:23M. Brozek2.10118101182P. Vanek1.67811128113LSep 22 · 17:25P. Vanek1.8081030M. Brozek1.911112113WSep 22 · 15:55D. Hyza2.5011115982P. Vanek1.50771111113WSep 22 · 15:25A. Kosacky2.50931191P. Vanek1.5011115113WAug 3 · 21:53P. Vanek1.44129118113M. Kulisek2.63101161192WAug 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek—81111992P. Vanek—118811113LAug 3 · 18:55P. Vanek2.209660D. Bochnak1.611111113LAug 3 · 18:55M. Prochazka2.0011119113P. Vanek1.73591151WAug 3 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.6381111992P. Vanek1.44118811113
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