TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Brozek vs Petr Vanek 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Michal Brozek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1188111012118811
Petr Vanek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Petr Vanek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11
98 points played in total.
H2H Michal Brozek 16–9 Petr Vanek Petr Vanek has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Brozek beat Vanek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vanek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 2.10 / Vanek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Brozek)-0.6pp
TT Cup · #13179907
Brozek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back14% 11 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Vanek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 37 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrozek4wins
AwayVanek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVanek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek60%3 of 5
AwayVanek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek5Vanek5n = 10split evenly
S2Brozek6Vanek4n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S3Brozek4Vanek6n = 10Vanek took 6 of 10
S4Brozek2Vanek4n = 6Vanek took 4 of 6
S5Brozek2Vanek3n = 5Vanek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrozekVanekB − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.9−1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekVanekBasisWin rate · lifetime527 / 1017 vs 179 / 32851.8%54.6%527 / 1017 vs 179 / 328Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanekBrozek 2.10/Vanek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.4%
Vanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 17:25M. Brozek341112113P. Vanek2181030
WAug 2 · 19:55M. Brozek331111113P. Vanek206860
LMay 12 · 15:55M. Brozek33812491P. Vanek43111011113
WMay 7 · 19:55M. Brozek48111196113P. Vanek4496111172
LMay 2 · 19:55M. Brozek248880P. Vanek331111113
LMay 1 · 17:25M. Brozek4371171172P. Vanek50119118113
WApr 26 · 19:55M. Brozek47951111113P. Vanek4711119972
LApr 21 · 16:55M. Brozek2475120P. Vanek361111143
LApr 9 · 16:55M. Brozek44116116102P. Vanek47511811123
LMar 30 · 16:25M. Brozek49111110892P. Vanek48951211113
M. Brozek10
WSep 22 · 17:25P. Vanek1.8081030M. Brozek1.911112113WSep 22 · 16:25M. Brozek2.201111113A. Kosacky1.619550WSep 22 · 14:55D. Hyza2.10911114122M. Brozek1.67114611143LSep 22 · 13:35J. Kocab1.441111113M. Brozek2.632630LSep 22 · 12:50P. Benes1.8313121011123M. Brozek1.831114129102LSep 22 · 11:50M. Brozek2.3831171182J. Kocab1.53117115113LSep 22 · 10:20V. Nadvornik1.73116711113M. Brozek2.0091111982LSep 21 · 18:28P. Benes1.8011118123M. Brozek1.919711101WSep 21 · 16:55D. Hyza2.00410111172M. Brozek1.73111269113WSep 21 · 16:25P. Benes1.8311991572M. Brozek1.839111113113
P. Vanek10
LSep 22 · 17:25P. Vanek1.8081030M. Brozek1.911112113WSep 22 · 15:55D. Hyza2.5011115982P. Vanek1.50771111113WSep 22 · 15:25A. Kosacky2.50931191P. Vanek1.5011115113WAug 3 · 21:53P. Vanek1.44129118113M. Kulisek2.63101161192WAug 3 · 19:25M. Kulisek—81111992P. Vanek—118811113LAug 3 · 18:55M. Prochazka2.0011119113P. Vanek1.73591151LAug 3 · 18:55P. Vanek2.209660D. Bochnak1.611111113WAug 3 · 18:55M. Kulisek2.6381111992P. Vanek1.44118811113WAug 2 · 21:58P. Vanek1.80111145113M. Prochazka1.9179111182LAug 2 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.61119811113P. Vanek2.2031111742
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.