TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Stanislav Kafka vs Petr Zivny 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Stanislav Kafka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811111––––
Petr Zivny
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Zivny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislav Kafka above · Petr Zivny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 50 set 3, 1-11 — our read held Petr Zivny at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zivny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kafka 1596 vs Zivny 1528
Kafka
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kafka 40% vs Zivny 80%
Zivny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kafka 50% vs Zivny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kafka -2 · Zivny +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zivny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zivny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKafka 1.91 / Zivny 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zivny)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13206007
Kafka1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Zivny1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKafkaZivnyBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 103 vs 21 / 3862.1%55.3%64 / 103 vs 21 / 38Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZivnyKafka 1.91/Zivny 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zivny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zivny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Kafka10
LSep 27 · 19:05S. Kafka1.806670D. Hons1.911111113LSep 27 · 18:05S. Kafka1.4454100M. Flesar2.631111123WSep 11 · 21:03S. Kafka1.831111113R. Vosyka1.839890WSep 11 · 20:05S. Kafka2.3891111113R. Vosyka1.53115471LSep 11 · 19:05S. Kafka1.6111117482J. Martin2.20861111113LSep 11 · 18:05S. Kafka1.6157100D. Hons2.201111123WSep 10 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.737970S. Kafka2.001111113WSep 10 · 20:05S. Kafka1.531111153M. Flesar2.3895130WSep 10 · 19:05S. Kafka1.73741111113T. Krcil2.0011112782LSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113
P. Zivny10
WSep 27 · 19:35M. Flesar2.639950P. Zivny1.441111113WSep 27 · 18:35P. Zivny1.8391112123D. Hons1.8311510101LSep 27 · 17:35D. Hons1.7311711113P. Zivny2.00711851WSep 27 · 16:05R. Fnukal2.106870P. Zivny1.671111113WSep 27 · 15:35T. Palan2.001311111142P. Zivny1.73159133113LSep 27 · 14:35P. Zivny1.673940D. Hons2.101111113LAug 2 · 17:04D. Hons2.10181299133P. Zivny1.6716101111112LAug 2 · 16:05P. Zivny2.255990J. Lovl1.571111113LAug 2 · 15:05P. Zivny1.6191111782R. Fnukal2.20116711113LAug 2 · 14:05P. Zivny1.4411105101D. Hons2.6371211123
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