TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Palan vs Petr Zivny 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Tomas Palan
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13151191113113411
Petr Zivny
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Zivny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Palan above · Petr Zivny below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 101 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Petr Zivny at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:16What took a side2 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zivny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Palan 60% vs Zivny 0%
Palan
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palan 60% vs Zivny 10%
Palan
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Palan -1 · Zivny -7
Zivny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zivny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zivny form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalan 2.00 / Zivny 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zivny)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13205809
Palan2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Zivny1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPalanZivnyBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 17 / 3360%51.5%6 / 10 vs 17 / 33Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZivnyPalan 2.00/Zivny 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zivny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zivny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Palan10
LSep 27 · 14:05R. Fnukal2.501111113T. Palan1.506480WFeb 14 · 14:30T. Trnka—117971T. Palan—81111113WFeb 14 · 13:30T. Palan—1111113J. Vanek—6960LFeb 14 · 12:00T. Palan—811861T. Trnka—11611113WFeb 14 · 11:00P. Uher—21070T. Palan—1112113LFeb 13 · 18:30T. Palan—119911132V. Brom—711118153WFeb 13 · 17:30T. Palan—116117123N. Kriz—711211102WFeb 13 · 16:00T. Palan—115711163P. Zivny—811118142WFeb 13 · 15:00V. Brom—991491T. Palan—111112113LFeb 4 · 14:30J. Jirek—1111113T. Palan—5860
P. Zivny10
WSep 27 · 16:05R. Fnukal2.106870P. Zivny1.671111113LSep 27 · 14:35P. Zivny1.673940D. Hons2.101111113LAug 2 · 17:04D. Hons2.10181299133P. Zivny1.6716101111112LAug 2 · 16:05P. Zivny2.255990J. Lovl1.571111113LAug 2 · 15:05P. Zivny1.6191111782R. Fnukal2.20116711113LAug 2 · 14:05P. Zivny1.4411105101D. Hons2.6371211123LJun 28 · 13:05P. Zivny—711881J. Lovl—11511113LJun 28 · 12:05P. Zivny—95111192R. Fnukal—111178113WJun 28 · 11:05P. Zivny—1111911113R. Pokorny—55111392LFeb 13 · 16:00T. Palan—115711163P. Zivny—811118142
Upcoming Matches
T. Palan
Nothing scheduled
P. Zivny
Event Chatroom
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