TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Fnukal vs Petr Zivny 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811711––––
Petr Zivny
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:46 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timePetr Zivny to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Fnukal above · Petr Zivny below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Petr Zivny at 55.4%
54 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fnukal 3–2 Petr Zivny Petr Zivny has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:46What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zivny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fnukal 1574 vs Zivny 1498
Fnukal
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fnukal 80% vs Zivny 20%
Fnukal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fnukal 70% vs Zivny 20%
Fnukal
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fnukal -1 · Zivny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Zivny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zivny form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFnukal 2.10 / Zivny 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Zivny)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13205887
Fnukal2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog58% won 11 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back46% 5 of 11
Zivny1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeFnukal3wins
AwayZivny2wins
4 of 5 to a deciderFnukal leads 3–2, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFnukal75%3 of 4
AwayZivnyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fnukal4Zivny1n = 5Fnukal took 4 of 5
S2Fnukal3Zivny2n = 5Fnukal took 3 of 5
S3Fnukal2Zivny3n = 5Zivny took 3 of 5
S4Fnukal2Zivny3n = 5Zivny took 3 of 5
S5Fnukal2Zivny2n = 4split evenly
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricFnukalZivnyF − ZBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match45.242.6+2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFnukalZivnyBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 140 vs 18 / 3450.7%52.9%71 / 140 vs 18 / 34Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZivnyFnukal 2.10/Zivny 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Zivny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zivny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 2 · 15:05R. Fnukal46116711113P. Zivny4691111782
WJun 28 · 12:05R. Fnukal48111178113P. Zivny4595111192
LMay 17 · 10:35R. Fnukal48111111692P. Zivny45133711113
WMay 3 · 11:05R. Fnukal4011117113P. Zivny32771171
LMar 15 · 13:05R. Fnukal4411911852P. Zivny45611611113
R. Fnukal10
LSep 27 · 15:05R. Fnukal1.611169101D. Hons2.2051111123WSep 27 · 14:05R. Fnukal2.501111113T. Palan1.506480WSep 20 · 17:45R. Fnukal1.53117811113J. Lovl2.3861111892WSep 20 · 16:35R. Fnukal1.61116912113J. Martin2.20811111072WSep 20 · 15:05D. Hons2.2510111181R. Fnukal1.5712139113WSep 20 · 14:35J. Lovl2.501111612132R. Fnukal1.50881114153WSep 11 · 13:10R. Fitl1.67111011992R. Fnukal2.10912711113LSep 11 · 12:05R. Neterda2.20771111113R. Fnukal1.6111114882WSep 11 · 11:35J. Lovl2.63612111172R. Fnukal1.44111473113LSep 11 · 10:35R. Fnukal1.836113111R. Fitl1.8311611133
P. Zivny10
WSep 27 · 15:35T. Palan2.001311111142P. Zivny1.73159133113LSep 27 · 14:35P. Zivny1.673940D. Hons2.101111113LAug 2 · 17:04D. Hons2.10181299133P. Zivny1.6716101111112LAug 2 · 16:05P. Zivny2.255990J. Lovl1.571111113LAug 2 · 15:05P. Zivny1.6191111782R. Fnukal2.20116711113LAug 2 · 14:05P. Zivny1.4411105101D. Hons2.6371211123LJun 28 · 13:05P. Zivny—711881J. Lovl—11511113LJun 28 · 12:05P. Zivny—95111192R. Fnukal—111178113WJun 28 · 11:05P. Zivny—1111911113R. Pokorny—55111392LJun 28 · 10:05P. Zivny—11710121J. Lovl—81112143
Upcoming Matches
R. Fnukal
Nothing scheduled
P. Zivny
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