TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Hons vs Petr Zivny 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117711118115––
Petr Zivny
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDavid Hons above · Petr Zivny below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5
71 points played in total.
H2H David Hons 3–4 Petr Zivny David Hons has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Hons beat Zivny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hons)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHons 1.73 / Zivny 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hons)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13207518
Hons1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 62 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it76% 44 of 58
Zivny2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHons3wins
AwayZivny4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderZivny leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHons66.7%2 of 3
AwayZivny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hons3Zivny4n = 7Zivny took 4 of 7
S2Hons4Zivny3n = 7Hons took 4 of 7
S3Hons3Zivny4n = 7Zivny took 4 of 7
S4Hons1Zivny3n = 4Zivny took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricHonsZivnyH − ZBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match37.738.0−0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHonsZivnyBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 529 vs 19 / 3550.7%54.3%268 / 529 vs 19 / 35Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HonsHons 1.73/Zivny 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hons · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hons won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 27 · 14:35D. Hons331111113P. Zivny163940
WAug 2 · 17:04D. Hons61181299133P. Zivny5916101111112
WAug 2 · 14:05D. Hons4271211123P. Zivny3611105101
LJun 7 · 07:35D. Hons34119681P. Zivny3851111113
LMay 24 · 21:40D. Hons2585120P. Zivny361111143
LMay 24 · 19:05D. Hons218760P. Zivny331111113
LMar 22 · 19:35D. Hons48911111072P. Zivny48117712113
D. Hons10
LSep 27 · 16:35D. Hons2.10911551T. Palan1.6711911113WSep 27 · 15:05R. Fnukal1.611169101D. Hons2.2051111123WSep 27 · 14:35P. Zivny1.673940D. Hons2.101111113LSep 26 · 21:38K. Lahodny1.8013119113D. Hons1.911151161LSep 26 · 20:05D. Hons2.0011116352K. Lahodny1.73991111113WSep 26 · 19:05D. Hons1.80711116113J. Martin1.9111771182WSep 26 · 18:05D. Hons1.5711811113L. Vana2.25511871LSep 26 · 09:19D. Hons1.506940R. Vavricka2.501111113LSep 26 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.571111113D. Hons2.258560WSep 26 · 07:35R. Vavricka2.5061111832D. Hons1.50116611113
P. Zivny10
WSep 27 · 16:05R. Fnukal2.106870P. Zivny1.671111113WSep 27 · 15:35T. Palan2.001311111142P. Zivny1.73159133113LSep 27 · 14:35P. Zivny1.673940D. Hons2.101111113LAug 2 · 17:04D. Hons2.10181299133P. Zivny1.6716101111112LAug 2 · 16:05P. Zivny2.255990J. Lovl1.571111113LAug 2 · 15:05P. Zivny1.6191111782R. Fnukal2.20116711113LAug 2 · 14:05P. Zivny1.4411105101D. Hons2.6371211123LJun 28 · 13:05P. Zivny—711881J. Lovl—11511113LJun 28 · 12:05P. Zivny—95111192R. Fnukal—111178113WJun 28 · 11:05P. Zivny—1111911113R. Pokorny—55111392
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.