TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Krystof Lahodny vs David Hons 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311115911116––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingKrystof Lahodny above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6
77 points played in total.
H2H Krystof Lahodny 2–2 David Hons Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Lahodny beat Hons 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lahodny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLahodny 1.80 / Hons 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lahodny)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13203510
Lahodny1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite82% won 9 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Hons1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 59 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLahodny2wins
AwayHons2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLahodnyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHons66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lahodny1Hons3n = 4Hons took 3 of 4
S2Lahodny3Hons1n = 4Lahodny took 3 of 4
S3Lahodny2Hons2n = 4split evenly
S4Lahodny1Hons2n = 3Hons took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricLahodnyHonsL − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match41.035.5+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLahodnyHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 59 vs 266 / 52547.5%50.7%28 / 59 vs 266 / 525Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LahodnyLahodny 1.80/Hons 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lahodny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lahodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 26 · 20:05K. Lahodny51991111113D. Hons3611116352
WSep 12 · 21:34K. Lahodny331111113D. Hons186750
LSep 12 · 18:35K. Lahodny4110119111D. Hons4512911133
LAug 20 · 14:05K. Lahodny391011991D. Hons4312911113
K. Lahodny10
WSep 26 · 20:05D. Hons2.0011116352K. Lahodny1.73991111113WSep 26 · 19:35L. Vana1.91911491K. Lahodny1.8011611113WSep 26 · 18:35K. Lahodny1.83961111113J. Martin1.8311119952LSep 25 · 13:04R. Neterda1.5311911113K. Lahodny2.38811561LSep 25 · 12:35R. Neterda1.831111113K. Lahodny1.836780LSep 25 · 11:35K. Lahodny3.00411771J. Ruzicka1.3611911113LSep 25 · 10:05M. Holub1.67111299113K. Lahodny2.10910111152WSep 13 · 17:06K. Lahodny1.50811118113J. Vidourek2.5011361192WSep 13 · 16:35K. Lahodny1.611115113J. Vidourek2.2081370LSep 13 · 15:05J. Lovl1.441111153K. Lahodny2.6378130
D. Hons10
LSep 26 · 20:05D. Hons2.0011116352K. Lahodny1.73991111113WSep 26 · 19:05D. Hons1.80711116113J. Martin1.9111771182WSep 26 · 18:05D. Hons1.5711811113L. Vana2.25511871LSep 26 · 09:19D. Hons1.506940R. Vavricka2.501111113LSep 26 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.571111113D. Hons2.258560WSep 26 · 07:35R. Vavricka2.5061111832D. Hons1.50116611113LSep 26 · 06:35D. Hons2.208139101J. Lovl1.61111111123WSep 23 · 17:10T. Motacek1.83451171D. Hons1.8311119113LSep 23 · 16:05P. Chvatal1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115681LSep 23 · 15:35M. Chmelicek2.381111123D. Hons1.5399100
Upcoming Matches
K. Lahodny
D. Hons
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.