TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Neterda vs Krystof Lahodny 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911115116––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Krystof Lahodny below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6
72 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 1–0 Krystof Lahodny Krystof Lahodny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Neterda beat Lahodny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Neterda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neterda form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 1.53 / Lahodny 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Neterda)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13194674
Neterda1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 62 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it75% 44 of 59
Lahodny2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 15 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNeterda1wins
AwayLahodny0wins
Neterda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNeterdaLahodnyN − LBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.021.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaLahodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 447 vs 25 / 5550.6%45.5%226 / 447 vs 25 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaNeterda 1.53/Lahodny 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 25 · 12:35R. Neterda331111113K. Lahodny216780
R. Neterda10
WSep 25 · 12:35R. Neterda1.831111113K. Lahodny1.836780WSep 25 · 11:05M. Holub1.91411111172R. Neterda1.80118913113LSep 25 · 10:35J. Ruzicka1.731111113R. Neterda2.007970LSep 25 · 09:35M. Flesar3.251116123R. Neterda1.33514100LSep 25 · 08:05P. Chvatal1.5711118113R. Neterda2.25571131WSep 25 · 07:35M. Rojka1.91211721R. Neterda1.8011911113WSep 25 · 06:35R. Neterda1.3371111113M. Flesar3.25114421LSep 24 · 17:35R. Neterda1.83111291192J. Martin1.83614116113WSep 24 · 16:05P. Chvatal1.6183111372R. Neterda2.201111611113WSep 24 · 15:35J. Martin2.1012116742R. Neterda1.671041111113
K. Lahodny10
LSep 25 · 12:35R. Neterda1.831111113K. Lahodny1.836780LSep 25 · 11:35K. Lahodny3.00411771J. Ruzicka1.3611911113LSep 25 · 10:05M. Holub1.67111299113K. Lahodny2.10910111152WSep 13 · 17:06K. Lahodny1.50811118113J. Vidourek2.5011361192WSep 13 · 16:35K. Lahodny1.611115113J. Vidourek2.2081370LSep 13 · 15:05J. Lovl1.441111153K. Lahodny2.6378130LSep 13 · 14:35R. Pokorny2.75111311113K. Lahodny1.40515781WSep 13 · 13:40K. Lahodny1.5811911113P. Pesout2.20411481LSep 13 · 12:05K. Lahodny1.53781151J. Jr2.3811115113WSep 13 · 11:05K. Lahodny1.40115311113M. Chmelicek2.7571111752
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