TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Yurij Fomin vs Wojciech Tobiasz 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511511117118114
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurij Fomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Yurij Fomin @ 1.74 · Won
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
511511117118114
H2H Yurij Fomin 34–24 Wojciech Tobiasz Wojciech Tobiasz has won 24 of their 58 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 04:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Tobiasz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-24 in 58
Fomin
Correct
gap of 10 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1301 vs Tobiasz 1259
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 60% vs Tobiasz 20%
Fomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 40% vs Tobiasz 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +1 · Tobiasz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fomin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tobiasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.90 / Tobiasz 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fomin)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13205855
Fomin1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 25)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 47 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back9% 8 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Tobiasz1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 21) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 44 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin5wins
AwayTobiasz5wins
8 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin50%2 of 4
AwayTobiasz50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin4Tobiasz6n = 10Tobiasz took 6 of 10
S2Fomin7Tobiasz3n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S3Fomin5Tobiasz5n = 10split evenly
S4Fomin4Tobiasz6n = 10Tobiasz took 6 of 10
S5Fomin4Tobiasz4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominTobiaszF − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.644.1+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 543 vs 320 / 70148.6%45.7%264 / 543 vs 320 / 701Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.90/Tobiasz 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Yurij Fomin @ 1.74 · Won
What happened
3–2
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 12:45Y. Fomin3911611113W. Tobiasz26511461
WSep 14 · 10:20Y. Fomin521011911113W. Tobiasz4612811962
WSep 7 · 13:55Y. Fomin47111167123W. Tobiasz43381111102
LSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin4361111692W. Tobiasz40110711113
WAug 17 · 15:30Y. Fomin50811911113W. Tobiasz4411511982
LAug 17 · 09:30Y. Fomin4787111292W. Tobiasz491111610113
WJun 29 · 11:55Y. Fomin47712115123W. Tobiasz451110311102
LJun 29 · 05:55Y. Fomin51111111992W. Tobiasz50713811113
LJun 22 · 15:05Y. Fomin334111081W. Tobiasz4211812113
LJun 22 · 08:20Y. Fomin47131151262W. Tobiasz561191114113
Y. Fomin10
WSep 25 · 08:00Y. Fomin1.901141011113P. Adamus1.8071112782LSep 25 · 06:45Y. Fomin2.62414791P. Polok1.44111211113WSep 25 · 05:35Y. Fomin2.4081111113M. Lebek1.50116861WSep 25 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.251181021Y. Fomin1.5591112113LSep 25 · 03:35Y. Fomin1.558980J. Nowak2.251111113LSep 18 · 08:20M. Adamus1.90137511123Y. Fomin1.801111119102LSep 18 · 07:35P. Polok1.4011611143Y. Fomin2.529119121WSep 18 · 05:35P. Kurek1.668970Y. Fomin2.001111113LSep 18 · 04:50M. Lebek1.5711119133Y. Fomin2.209411111LSep 18 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.3291111153Y. Fomin1.491197131
W. Tobiasz10
LSep 21 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.451114113W. Tobiasz2.5541230LSep 21 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek1.861111113W. Tobiasz1.833980WSep 21 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.36811101172W. Tobiasz2.90119127113LSep 21 · 13:10O. Jadach1.371511411143W. Tobiasz2.90176118122LSep 21 · 11:30P. Ostachowski1.7111611113W. Tobiasz2.00811651WSep 21 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.6041180W. Tobiasz2.151113113LSep 21 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek1.861111411113W. Tobiasz1.8313511872LSep 21 · 07:55G. Wichowski1.3311117123W. Tobiasz2.959911101LSep 21 · 06:20P. Ostachowski—101111113W. Tobiasz—128661WSep 21 · 05:30O. Jadach1.35891191W. Tobiasz2.9511116113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.