TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Karel Jirousek vs Ladislav Hendrych 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811119911115511
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Hendrych to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Ladislav Hendrych below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 91 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Ladislav Hendrych at 68.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Karel Jirousek 3–8 Ladislav Hendrych Karel Jirousek has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hendrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Hendrych
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirousek 1486 vs Hendrych 1492
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirousek 60% vs Hendrych 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirousek 80% vs Hendrych 40%
Jirousek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirousek -1 · Hendrych -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Hendrych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirousek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 2.63 / Hendrych 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Hendrych)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13203272
Jirousek2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 25)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 39 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back25% 12 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Hendrych1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 9 days ago (Sep 18) · back after a break
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it82% 44 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJirousek3wins
AwayHendrych7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHendrych leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirousek33.3%1 of 3
AwayHendrych71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirousek3Hendrych7n = 10Hendrych took 7 of 10
S2Jirousek6Hendrych4n = 10Jirousek took 6 of 10
S3Jirousek4Hendrych6n = 10Hendrych took 6 of 10
S4Jirousek2Hendrych7n = 9Hendrych took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJirousekHendrychJ − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.239.6−3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 436 vs 193 / 37251.4%51.9%224 / 436 vs 193 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychJirousek 2.63/Hendrych 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 17:45K. Jirousek33711871L. Hendrych3611311113
LAug 20 · 18:00K. Jirousek4213123862L. Hendrych5411101111113
LJun 16 · 21:08K. Jirousek28491141L. Hendrych3811115113
LJun 16 · 17:30K. Jirousek35711981L. Hendrych3911611113
LMay 28 · 18:30K. Jirousek30571171L. Hendrych4211119113
LDec 20 · 09:28K. Jirousek2596100L. Hendrych341111123
WDec 20 · 08:30K. Jirousek48711118113L. Hendrych4011681142
WDec 17 · 21:00K. Jirousek48111214113L. Hendrych389101631
WNov 6 · 20:00K. Jirousek3961111113L. Hendrych33114991
LOct 23 · 21:10K. Jirousek34117791L. Hendrych4291111113
K. Jirousek10
WSep 27 · 10:15K. Jirousek1.8313711113J. Mejzlik1.831111781LSep 25 · 20:29K. Jirousek1.28117111042J. Pina3.50711712113WSep 25 · 19:30J. Pina2.5041140K. Jirousek1.501113113WSep 25 · 19:00K. Jirousek1.7311513113J. Seeman2.008111191LSep 25 · 18:00K. Jirousek1.80781141J. Hanacek1.9111117113WSep 17 · 08:28M. Vorel2.251011117152K. Jirousek1.57124611173WSep 17 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.7313811113M. Vorel2.001111781WSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121WSep 17 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.6731112113A. Dvoracek2.101171081WSep 12 · 09:00A. Dvoracek1.57116781K. Jirousek2.2591111113
L. Hendrych10
LSep 18 · 21:13F. Kubos1.9111511123L. Hendrych1.806118101WSep 18 · 19:30J. Snr1.53111111572L. Hendrych2.38891311113WSep 18 · 19:00L. Hendrych1.53911119113F. Kubos2.3811581192LSep 18 · 18:00L. Hendrych1.50810100J. Botka2.501112123WSep 13 · 12:46J. Juppa1.751711126132L. Hendrych1.951971011153WSep 13 · 11:30L. Hendrych1.7391111113J. Marhol2.00117771LSep 13 · 10:30L. Hendrych1.806115111J. Juppa1.9111811133LSep 13 · 09:30L. Hendrych1.8081211662F. Kubos1.911110611113LSep 11 · 20:54T. Bertho1.671261111113L. Hendrych2.10101181392LSep 11 · 19:45L. Hendrych1.91101111932T. Bertho1.80128911113
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