TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Karel Jirousek vs Josef Hanacek 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111414121214611
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Jirousek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarel Jirousek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 103 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Karel Jirousek at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Karel Jirousek 13–16 Josef Hanacek Karel Jirousek has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jirousek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-16 in 29
Hanacek
Correct
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirousek 1473 vs Hanacek 1425
Jirousek
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirousek 60% vs Hanacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirousek 70% vs Hanacek 50%
Jirousek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirousek +1 · Hanacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jirousek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirousek 1.80 / Hanacek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jirousek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13202903
Jirousek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 35 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it71% 27 of 38
Hanacek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 61 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back31% 21 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJirousek5wins
AwayHanacek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirousek66.7%4 of 6
AwayHanacek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirousek6Hanacek4n = 10Jirousek took 6 of 10
S2Jirousek5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Jirousek6Hanacek4n = 10Jirousek took 6 of 10
S4Jirousek5Hanacek4n = 9Jirousek took 5 of 9
S5Jirousek1Hanacek3n = 4Hanacek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJirousekHanacekJ − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.641.3−0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirousekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 434 vs 242 / 47551.4%51%223 / 434 vs 242 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirousekJirousek 1.80/Hanacek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jirousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 18:00K. Jirousek30781141J. Hanacek4011117113
WSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek4261111143J. Hanacek391188121
WAug 9 · 09:03K. Jirousek4513811133J. Hanacek3711114111
WAug 9 · 06:00K. Jirousek4111117123J. Hanacek316411101
LAug 4 · 17:14K. Jirousek426171181J. Hanacek5011199113
WAug 4 · 13:30K. Jirousek331111113J. Hanacek228950
LAug 1 · 19:45K. Jirousek4311681172J. Hanacek50811119113
LJun 12 · 05:45K. Jirousek4061341162J. Hanacek521111118113
WJun 9 · 08:39K. Jirousek501261110113J. Hanacek43101171232
LJun 9 · 07:00K. Jirousek4011113962J. Hanacek49791111113
K. Jirousek10
WSep 27 · 10:15K. Jirousek1.8313711113J. Mejzlik1.831111781LSep 27 · 09:15K. Jirousek2.6381191152L. Hendrych1.44119115113LSep 25 · 20:29K. Jirousek1.28117111042J. Pina3.50711712113WSep 25 · 19:30J. Pina2.5041140K. Jirousek1.501113113WSep 25 · 19:00K. Jirousek1.7311513113J. Seeman2.008111191LSep 25 · 18:00K. Jirousek1.80781141J. Hanacek1.9111117113WSep 17 · 08:28M. Vorel2.251011117152K. Jirousek1.57124611173WSep 17 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.7313811113M. Vorel2.001111781WSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121WSep 17 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.6731112113A. Dvoracek2.101171081
J. Hanacek10
LSep 27 · 10:45J. Hanacek3.25671171L. Hendrych1.3311115113WSep 27 · 09:45J. Hanacek2.2012611113J. Mejzlik1.611011831LSep 26 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.831181391A. Dvoracek1.8371115113WSep 26 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.831110661J. Hanacek1.8351211113LSep 26 · 15:00J. Mejzlik1.7311119142J. Hanacek2.009311141WSep 26 · 09:09J. Hanacek1.60116411113M. Vorel2.2081111182WSep 26 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.201111113O. Plyska1.615570LSep 26 · 06:30P. Hlina2.101112511113J. Hanacek1.67131011752WSep 25 · 18:00K. Jirousek1.80781141J. Hanacek1.9111117113LSep 17 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8361111143J. Hanacek1.831188121
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.