TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Josef Hanacek vs Jakub Mejzlik 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210611118113––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 72 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 58.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 13–10 Jakub Mejzlik Jakub Mejzlik has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:10What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mejzlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-10 in 23
Hanacek
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanacek 1421 vs Mejzlik 1432
Mejzlik
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanacek 60% vs Mejzlik 40%
Hanacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanacek 50% vs Mejzlik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanacek -1 · Mejzlik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mejzlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mejzlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 2.20 / Mejzlik 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Mejzlik)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13202058
Hanacek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 61 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back31% 21 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Mejzlik1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanacek5wins
AwayMejzlik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanacekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMejzlik55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek1Mejzlik9n = 10Mejzlik took 9 of 10
S2Hanacek6Mejzlik4n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S3Hanacek5Mejzlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Hanacek2Mejzlik6n = 8Mejzlik took 6 of 8
S5Hanacek4Mejzlik0n = 4Hanacek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHanacekMejzlikH − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match36.439.4−3.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 473 vs 139 / 28451%48.9%241 / 473 vs 139 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikHanacek 2.20/Mejzlik 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 21:03J. Hanacek501171110113J. Mejzlik4781181282
LSep 13 · 18:30J. Hanacek2071030J. Mejzlik341112113
LSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek29145100J. Mejzlik391611123
WAug 11 · 19:00J. Hanacek39311311113J. Mejzlik3911411582
LAug 10 · 16:58J. Hanacek33791161J. Mejzlik4011117113
WAug 10 · 13:30J. Hanacek49711119113J. Mejzlik4211851172
LJul 27 · 07:00J. Hanacek29212781J. Mejzlik43111011113
WJul 26 · 09:09J. Hanacek47611118113J. Mejzlik4311691162
LJul 26 · 06:00J. Hanacek27611551J. Mejzlik3511211113
WJul 25 · 20:53J. Hanacek4181111113J. Mejzlik32116691
J. Hanacek10
LSep 26 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.831181391A. Dvoracek1.8371115113WSep 26 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.831110661J. Hanacek1.8351211113LSep 26 · 15:00J. Mejzlik1.7311119142J. Hanacek2.009311141WSep 26 · 09:09J. Hanacek1.60116411113M. Vorel2.2081111182WSep 26 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.201111113O. Plyska1.615570LSep 26 · 06:30P. Hlina2.101112511113J. Hanacek1.67131011752WSep 26 · 06:00M. Vorel2.2578111272J. Hanacek1.571111710113LSep 25 · 20:59J. Seeman2.1011911113J. Hanacek1.67611971LSep 25 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.57671181J. Seeman2.2511117113LSep 25 · 18:30J. Pina1.61101111103J. Hanacek2.20124791
J. Mejzlik10
LSep 27 · 10:15K. Jirousek1.8313711113J. Mejzlik1.831111781LSep 26 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer1.57611114113J. Mejzlik2.2511921192WSep 26 · 15:00J. Mejzlik1.7311119142J. Hanacek2.009311141WSep 26 · 14:00J. Mejzlik1.8011611113A. Dvoracek1.91811991LSep 14 · 08:33M. Vorel1.9111411113J. Mejzlik1.80811731LSep 14 · 07:30J. Mejzlik1.734115111O. Plyska2.0011711133WSep 14 · 06:30J. Mejzlik1.83813811113M. Vorel1.83111111462LSep 14 · 05:30J. Mejzlik1.731714431A. Dvoracek2.00191211113LSep 13 · 21:03J. Hanacek2.251171110113J. Mejzlik1.5781181282WSep 13 · 19:30J. Mejzlik1.53147811143J. Jnr2.381211118122
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