TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Josef Hanacek vs Martin Vorel 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118611411111118
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 82 set 5, 11-8
82 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 10–6 Martin Vorel Martin Vorel has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Hanacek beat Vorel 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hanacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 1.60 / Vorel 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hanacek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13199244
Hanacek1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 63 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it81% 42 of 52
Vorel2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 70 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back32% 22 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanacek6wins
AwayVorel4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHanacek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanacek83.3%5 of 6
AwayVorel75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek6Vorel4n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S2Hanacek7Vorel3n = 10Hanacek took 7 of 10
S3Hanacek6Vorel4n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S4Hanacek5Vorel2n = 7Hanacek took 5 of 7
S5Hanacek2Vorel4n = 6Vorel took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHanacekVorelH − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.837.7+4.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 470 vs 402 / 78150.9%51.5%239 / 470 vs 402 / 781Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekHanacek 1.60/Vorel 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 06:00J. Hanacek501111710113M. Vorel4578111272
LSep 17 · 06:00J. Hanacek46611111172M. Vorel50118137113
LAug 28 · 11:45J. Hanacek4211691152M. Vorel44611115113
WAug 24 · 12:54J. Hanacek361211133M. Vorel29108110
WAug 24 · 10:45J. Hanacek331111113M. Vorel219840
WAug 16 · 14:45J. Hanacek51119146113M. Vorel43811121112
LAug 15 · 10:30J. Hanacek3958111142M. Vorel42111127113
WAug 10 · 16:00J. Hanacek4271111133M. Vorel321146111
LJul 30 · 17:45J. Hanacek46101171172M. Vorel51129118113
WJul 17 · 12:48J. Hanacek331111113M. Vorel205780
J. Hanacek10
WSep 27 · 11:15K. Jirousek1.80811141262J. Hanacek1.911141214113LSep 27 · 10:45J. Hanacek3.25671171L. Hendrych1.3311115113WSep 27 · 09:45J. Hanacek2.2012611113J. Mejzlik1.611011831LSep 26 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.831181391A. Dvoracek1.8371115113WSep 26 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.831110661J. Hanacek1.8351211113LSep 26 · 15:00J. Mejzlik1.7311119142J. Hanacek2.009311141WSep 26 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.201111113O. Plyska1.615570LSep 26 · 06:30P. Hlina2.101112511113J. Hanacek1.67131011752WSep 26 · 06:00M. Vorel2.2578111272J. Hanacek1.571111710113LSep 25 · 20:59J. Seeman2.1011911113J. Hanacek1.67611971
M. Vorel10
WSep 26 · 07:30P. Hlina1.505121011112M. Vorel2.501110129133WSep 26 · 07:00M. Vorel1.80841111113O. Plyska1.9111113762LSep 26 · 06:00M. Vorel2.2578111272J. Hanacek1.571111710113WSep 25 · 08:53J. Puk1.91611491M. Vorel1.8011811113LSep 25 · 07:45M. Vorel1.83911991J. Puk1.8311911113LSep 25 · 06:15P. Hlina1.50811711133M. Vorel2.50117115112WSep 25 · 05:45K. Farsky1.5011871152M. Vorel2.50511113113LSep 24 · 12:13M. Obraz2.2011611113M. Vorel1.61711761LSep 24 · 11:15M. Vorel1.448850J. Blazek2.631111113LSep 24 · 10:15M. Vorel1.831241161A. Dvoracek1.8314117113
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