TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Martin Vorel vs Jaroslav Puk 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119911911––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Puk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vorel above · Jaroslav Puk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Puk at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vorel 28–36 Jaroslav Puk Martin Vorel has won 28 of their 64 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Puk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-36 in 64
Puk
Correct
gap of 8 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorel 1364 vs Puk 1379
Puk
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorel 20% vs Puk 40%
Puk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorel 50% vs Puk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorel -1 · Puk -3
Puk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Puk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Puk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorel 1.83 / Puk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Puk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13190511
Vorel1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Puk1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorel5wins
AwayPuk5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorel75%3 of 4
AwayPuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorel4Puk6n = 10Puk took 6 of 10
S2Vorel6Puk4n = 10Vorel took 6 of 10
S3Vorel3Puk7n = 10Puk took 7 of 10
S4Vorel4Puk3n = 7Vorel took 4 of 7
S5Vorel3Puk2n = 5Vorel took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorelPukV − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.337.7+2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorelPukBasisWin rate · lifetime402 / 780 vs 145 / 31051.5%46.8%402 / 780 vs 145 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PukVorel 1.83/Puk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Puk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Puk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 09:23M. Vorel46611711112J. Puk50119116133
WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel496111110113J. Puk4511891252
WAug 31 · 06:00M. Vorel47118611113J. Puk3861111822
WAug 25 · 09:03M. Vorel548111113113J. Puk4111431582
WAug 25 · 08:00M. Vorel4011116123J. Puk314611101
LAug 19 · 08:58M. Vorel361011781J. Puk4012611113
LAug 19 · 08:00M. Vorel197660J. Puk331111113
WJul 21 · 12:38M. Vorel331111113J. Puk161690
LJul 21 · 09:30M. Vorel32119120J. Puk381311143
LMay 15 · 10:30M. Vorel47116911102J. Puk45411117123
M. Vorel10
WSep 25 · 08:53J. Puk1.91611491M. Vorel1.8011811113LSep 25 · 06:15P. Hlina1.50811711133M. Vorel2.50117115112WSep 25 · 05:45K. Farsky1.5011871152M. Vorel2.50511113113LSep 24 · 12:13M. Obraz2.2011611113M. Vorel1.61711761LSep 24 · 11:15M. Vorel1.448850J. Blazek2.631111113LSep 24 · 10:15M. Vorel1.831241161A. Dvoracek1.8314117113WSep 24 · 09:15M. Vorel1.6191111113M. Obraz2.20115571LSep 22 · 12:34M. Vorel1.57116971L. Krutina2.2581111113WSep 22 · 11:30L. Krutina1.914911101M. Vorel1.8011116123WSep 22 · 11:00M. Vorel1.3011815113P. Moulis3.406111361
J. Puk10
LSep 25 · 08:53J. Puk1.91611491M. Vorel1.8011811113LSep 25 · 06:45K. Farsky1.801111113J. Puk1.915760LSep 25 · 05:15P. Hlina1.5311119113J. Puk2.38371161LSep 24 · 09:04J. Puk1.28119111272M. Snizek3.501311810113WSep 24 · 08:00J. Puk1.6111811113P. Moulis2.20911861WSep 24 · 06:30M. Snizek3.50911861J. Puk1.2811711113WSep 24 · 06:00V. Kral1.83751191J. Puk1.8311118113LSep 11 · 09:19J. Puk1.91101141162F. Husek1.80129114113WSep 11 · 08:00J. Puk1.571310128133P. Moulis2.2511121011112WSep 11 · 06:30M. Snizek3.005960J. Puk1.361111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.