TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Josef Hanacek vs Oleh Plyska 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115117––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeOleh Plyska to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Oleh Plyska below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 50 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleh Plyska at 57.4%
50 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 14–19 Oleh Plyska Josef Hanacek has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:16What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Plyska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-19 in 33
Plyska
Wrong
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanacek 1394 vs Plyska 1508
Plyska
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanacek 20% vs Plyska 60%
Plyska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanacek 40% vs Plyska 70%
Plyska
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanacek -1 · Plyska -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Plyska) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 2.20 / Plyska 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Plyska)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13196386
Hanacek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 60 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back32% 21 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Plyska1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite55% won 91 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it64% 63 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanacek4wins
AwayPlyska6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPlyska leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanacek66.7%2 of 3
AwayPlyska71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek3Plyska7n = 10Plyska took 7 of 10
S2Hanacek6Plyska4n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S3Hanacek4Plyska6n = 10Plyska took 6 of 10
S4Hanacek4Plyska3n = 7Hanacek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHanacekPlyskaH − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.036.0−2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekPlyskaBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 469 vs 331 / 67050.8%49.4%238 / 469 vs 331 / 670Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaHanacek 2.20/Plyska 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 11:45J. Hanacek4341181192O. Plyska41117111113
LSep 2 · 06:00J. Hanacek24641131O. Plyska4111118113
WAug 29 · 13:30J. Hanacek331111113O. Plyska218580
LAug 25 · 12:28J. Hanacek2310490O. Plyska341211113
WAug 25 · 10:00J. Hanacek4171111123O. Plyska281161101
LAug 22 · 15:30J. Hanacek36128881O. Plyska43101111113
LAug 8 · 17:04J. Hanacek348121041O. Plyska44111012113
WAug 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek3611112123O. Plyska368711101
LAug 7 · 11:00J. Hanacek2311570O. Plyska351311113
WAug 1 · 20:53J. Hanacek47111111143O. Plyska371366121
J. Hanacek10
LSep 26 · 06:30P. Hlina2.101112511113J. Hanacek1.67131011752WSep 26 · 06:00M. Vorel2.2578111272J. Hanacek1.571111710113LSep 25 · 20:59J. Seeman2.1011911113J. Hanacek1.67611971LSep 25 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.57671181J. Seeman2.2511117113LSep 25 · 18:30J. Pina1.61101111103J. Hanacek2.20124791WSep 25 · 18:00K. Jirousek1.80781141J. Hanacek1.9111117113LSep 20 · 20:44J. Hanacek1.80111081192K. Farsky1.91612115113WSep 20 · 19:45L. Tuma1.67511851J. Hanacek2.1011811113WSep 20 · 18:45K. Farsky1.8311211962J. Hanacek1.83511711113LSep 20 · 17:15F. Schmidtmayer1.83111110113J. Hanacek1.83741281
O. Plyska10
LSep 26 · 08:29O. Plyska2.008650P. Hlina1.731111113LSep 26 · 07:00M. Vorel1.80841111113O. Plyska1.9111113762WSep 26 · 05:30P. Hlina1.80611211112O. Plyska1.91116117133WSep 22 · 17:08O. Plyska1.61111111143M. Vana2.201138121LSep 22 · 16:00M. Vana2.007111213113O. Plyska1.73116101542WSep 22 · 15:00K. Polak2.0010870O. Plyska1.731211113WSep 22 · 13:30M. Hasman1.837290O. Plyska1.831111113WSep 21 · 21:03O. Plyska2.001111113L. Tuma1.737790LSep 21 · 20:00L. Tuma1.80111111113O. Plyska1.91138831WSep 21 · 19:00M. Vana1.9171060O. Plyska1.801112113
Upcoming Matches
J. Hanacek
O. Plyska
Nothing scheduled
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