TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Petr Hlina vs Oleh Plyska 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111162111171113
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Hlina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Hlina above · Oleh Plyska below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 89 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Petr Hlina at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Petr Hlina 9–7 Oleh Plyska Oleh Plyska has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hlina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Hlina
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlina 1474 vs Plyska 1514
Plyska
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlina 80% vs Plyska 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlina 70% vs Plyska 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlina -1 · Plyska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hlina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plyska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlina 1.80 / Plyska 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hlina)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13197541
Hlina1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 24 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Plyska1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog38% won 51 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHlina6wins
AwayPlyska4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHlina leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHlina66.7%4 of 6
AwayPlyska50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlina6Plyska4n = 10Hlina took 6 of 10
S2Hlina1Plyska9n = 10Plyska took 9 of 10
S3Hlina7Plyska3n = 10Hlina took 7 of 10
S4Hlina5Plyska4n = 9Hlina took 5 of 9
S5Hlina4Plyska2n = 6Hlina took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHlinaPlyskaH − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.242.7−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlinaPlyskaBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 148 vs 333 / 67554.1%49.3%80 / 148 vs 333 / 675Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlinaHlina 1.80/Plyska 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hlina · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Plyska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina501241211113O. Plyska50141110962
WAug 21 · 09:03P. Hlina501111116113O. Plyska4791381162
LAug 21 · 08:00P. Hlina30117931O. Plyska3631111113
LJul 26 · 08:38P. Hlina226790O. Plyska331111113
WJul 26 · 05:30P. Hlina4111511143O. Plyska419119121
LJul 19 · 06:45P. Hlina48116131172O. Plyska521311116113
WMay 10 · 08:34P. Hlina461110113113O. Plyska4651291192
WMay 10 · 07:30P. Hlina501011711113O. Plyska4412911482
WMay 6 · 06:00P. Hlina4111811113O. Plyska23311541
LFeb 27 · 09:58P. Hlina4416511482O. Plyska551411811113
P. Hlina10
WSep 26 · 06:30P. Hlina2.101112511113J. Hanacek1.67131011752LSep 25 · 08:23K. Farsky2.387111116113P. Hlina1.5311991892WSep 25 · 07:15P. Hlina1.83111110113K. Farsky1.83991291WSep 25 · 06:15P. Hlina1.50811711133M. Vorel2.50117115112WSep 25 · 05:15P. Hlina1.5311119113J. Puk2.38371161WSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113LSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962WSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751WSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113
O. Plyska10
WSep 22 · 17:08O. Plyska1.61111111143M. Vana2.201138121LSep 22 · 16:00M. Vana2.007111213113O. Plyska1.73116101542WSep 22 · 15:00K. Polak2.0010870O. Plyska1.731211113WSep 22 · 13:30M. Hasman1.837290O. Plyska1.831111113WSep 21 · 21:03O. Plyska2.001111113L. Tuma1.737790LSep 21 · 20:00L. Tuma1.80111111113O. Plyska1.91138831WSep 21 · 19:00M. Vana1.9171060O. Plyska1.801112113WSep 21 · 17:30J. Vasek2.2547111162O. Plyska1.57111199113LSep 19 · 12:23O. Plyska2.505890T. Hanke1.501111113LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962
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