TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Karel Farsky vs Petr Hlina 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111191191618119
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingKarel Farsky above · Petr Hlina below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 16-18
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 112 set 5, 11-9
112 points played in total.
H2H Karel Farsky 0–1 Petr Hlina Karel Farsky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Hlina beat Farsky 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hlina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlina form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFarsky 2.38 / Hlina 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hlina)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13193394
Farsky2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back33% 12 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Hlina1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 22 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFarsky0wins
AwayHlina1wins
Hlina leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFarskyHlinaF − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.043.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFarskyHlinaBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 355 vs 80 / 14749%54.4%174 / 355 vs 80 / 147Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlinaFarsky 2.38/Hlina 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Hlina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Farsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 25 · 07:15K. Farsky39991291P. Hlina43111110113
K. Farsky10
LSep 25 · 07:15P. Hlina1.83111110113K. Farsky1.83991291WSep 25 · 06:45K. Farsky1.801111113J. Puk1.915760LSep 25 · 05:45K. Farsky1.5011871152M. Vorel2.50511113113WSep 24 · 16:58K. Polak2.751081191K. Farsky1.4012119113WSep 24 · 16:00K. Farsky1.441113113K. Polak2.6381160WSep 24 · 14:30P. Abraham2.50671116122K. Farsky1.501111414143LSep 24 · 14:00L. Tuma2.63811112113K. Farsky1.4411861172WSep 20 · 20:44J. Hanacek1.80111081192K. Farsky1.91612115113WSep 20 · 19:15F. Schmidtmayer1.91931271K. Farsky1.80111110113LSep 20 · 18:45K. Farsky1.8311211962J. Hanacek1.83511711113
P. Hlina10
WSep 25 · 07:15P. Hlina1.83111110113K. Farsky1.83991291WSep 25 · 06:15P. Hlina1.50811711133M. Vorel2.50117115112WSep 25 · 05:15P. Hlina1.5311119113J. Puk2.38371161WSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113LSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962WSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751WSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 15:30P. Hlina2.00111178132V. Toman1.73861111153WSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211
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