TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Miklukha vs Vasily Kondratenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
13151012811––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeVasily Kondratenko to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Vasily Kondratenko below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 69 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vasily Kondratenko at 69.6%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 0–3 Vasily Kondratenko Oleh Miklukha has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kondratenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Kondratenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1103 vs Kondratenko 1165
Kondratenko
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 20% vs Kondratenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 10% vs Kondratenko 50%
Kondratenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha -4 · Kondratenko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kondratenko) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kondratenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 3.00 / Kondratenko 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Kondratenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13202690
Miklukha3.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 39 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Kondratenko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 79 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMiklukha0wins
AwayKondratenko3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKondratenko leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha1Kondratenko2n = 3Kondratenko took 2 of 3
S2Miklukha0Kondratenko3n = 3Kondratenko took 3 of 3
S3Miklukha1Kondratenko2n = 3Kondratenko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMiklukhaKondratenkoM − KBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match33.041.7−8.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaKondratenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 451 vs 242 / 54646.1%44.3%208 / 451 vs 242 / 546Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KondratenkoMiklukha 3.00/Kondratenko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Kondratenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kondratenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 19 · 09:30O. Miklukha31771161V. Kondratenko4111118113
LAug 13 · 06:20O. Miklukha25101320V. Kondratenko381215113
LJul 28 · 10:30O. Miklukha43114711102V. Kondratenko46811114123
O. Miklukha10
LSep 27 · 15:10V. Varchenko1.83471111143O. Miklukha1.83111167122LSep 27 · 14:10O. Miklukha1.83791131P. Ostrovskyi1.8311118113LSep 27 · 13:10V. Kucheriavyi1.731111711113O. Miklukha2.0041311552LSep 27 · 11:40O. Miklukha1.57111051162S. Osipov2.25512116113WSep 24 · 10:30V. Mukhin2.107611111O. Miklukha1.6711117133LSep 24 · 09:30O. Miklukha2.50118111072S. Semenets1.50911712113LSep 24 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.755113121V. Korniichuk1.4011611143LSep 24 · 07:00O. Miklukha2.38591861V. Stukalov1.53111116113LSep 24 · 05:00O. Miklukha2.10511371M. Khalenko1.6711711113LSep 15 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.44111178133O. Miklukha2.63881111112
V. Kondratenko10
LSep 27 · 16:10P. Ostrovskyi2.10971112113V. Kondratenko1.67111151072LSep 27 · 14:40V. Kucheriavyi2.5011117113V. Kondratenko1.50591151LSep 27 · 12:40S. Osipov2.631111133V. Kondratenko1.4486110WSep 27 · 10:40V. Varchenko2.635560V. Kondratenko1.441111113LSep 20 · 17:10V. Kondratenko1.40119971S. Kovalenko2.7581111113WSep 20 · 15:10V. Varchenko2.7511831142V. Kondratenko1.40311118113WSep 20 · 14:10V. Kondratenko1.7311101311103V. Mykhalchenko2.0081215932WSep 20 · 13:10O. Stopin3.001174111V. Kondratenko1.3671111133LSep 20 · 11:40V. Kondratenko1.8311711592Y. Korotin1.83711811113WSep 16 · 12:20V. Kondratenko1.6711916123D. Khavanskyi2.1041114101
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