TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Varchenko vs Oleh Miklukha 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4117111161171412
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Miklukha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Varchenko above · Oleh Miklukha below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 94 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Oleh Miklukha at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 1–3 Oleh Miklukha Volodymyr Varchenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Miklukha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Miklukha
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1210 vs Miklukha 1111
Varchenko
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 80% vs Miklukha 20%
Varchenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 60% vs Miklukha 10%
Varchenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko +2 · Miklukha -3
Miklukha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Varchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miklukha form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 1.83 / Miklukha 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Varchenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13203277
Varchenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Miklukha1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVarchenko1wins
AwayMiklukha3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderMiklukha leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varchenko2Miklukha2n = 4split evenly
S2Varchenko2Miklukha2n = 4split evenly
S3Varchenko1Miklukha3n = 4Miklukha took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricVarchenkoMiklukhaV − MBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.742.3−6.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoMiklukhaBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 227 vs 208 / 45046.3%46.2%105 / 227 vs 208 / 450Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarchenkoVarchenko 1.83/Miklukha 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Varchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 15 · 14:30V. Varchenko43111182113O. Miklukha4698111172
LFeb 21 · 10:00V. Varchenko3881111352O. Miklukha45118411113
LAug 15 · 14:50V. Varchenko2681260O. Miklukha361114113
V. Varchenko10
WSep 27 · 13:40V. Varchenko1.5311911113S. Osipov2.38311841WSep 27 · 12:10V. Varchenko2.0011115113P. Ostrovskyi1.73781181LSep 27 · 10:40V. Varchenko2.635560V. Kondratenko1.441111113WSep 22 · 17:10V. Varchenko2.101111113D. Khavanskyi1.677350WSep 22 · 15:10S. Semenets1.508880V. Varchenko2.501111113WSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko1.67147119113S. Osipov2.10121181172LSep 22 · 13:10V. Stukalov2.101112113V. Varchenko1.6761090WSep 20 · 16:40V. Varchenko2.20121311113O. Stopin1.611411351LSep 20 · 15:10V. Varchenko2.7511831142V. Kondratenko1.40311118113LSep 20 · 13:40V. Varchenko2.254450Y. Korotin1.57111163
O. Miklukha10
LSep 27 · 14:10O. Miklukha1.83791131P. Ostrovskyi1.8311118113LSep 27 · 13:10V. Kucheriavyi1.731111711113O. Miklukha2.0041311552LSep 27 · 11:40O. Miklukha1.57111051162S. Osipov2.25512116113WSep 24 · 10:30V. Mukhin2.107611111O. Miklukha1.6711117133LSep 24 · 09:30O. Miklukha2.50118111072S. Semenets1.50911712113LSep 24 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.755113121V. Korniichuk1.4011611143LSep 24 · 07:00O. Miklukha2.38591861V. Stukalov1.53111116113LSep 24 · 05:00O. Miklukha2.10511371M. Khalenko1.6711711113LSep 15 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.44111178133O. Miklukha2.63881111112LSep 15 · 15:40O. Miklukha3.25117111162S. Hovorunets1.33811139113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.