TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Pavlo Ostrovskyi vs Vasily Kondratenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Pavlo Ostrovskyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–1Last 2Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9117111151210117
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVasily Kondratenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavlo Ostrovskyi above · Vasily Kondratenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vasily Kondratenko at 55.8%
94 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:52What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kondratenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Ostrovskyi 50% vs Kondratenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ostrovskyi 50% vs Kondratenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ostrovskyi +1 · Kondratenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kondratenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kondratenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOstrovskyi 2.10 / Kondratenko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kondratenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13206352
Ostrovskyi2.10
50%won 1 of 2 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 1 of 2
Kondratenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 79 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOstrovskyiKondratenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 2 vs 242 / 54550%44.4%1 / 2 vs 242 / 545Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KondratenkoOstrovskyi 2.10/Kondratenko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Kondratenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ostrovskyi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Ostrovskyi2
V. Kondratenko10
WSep 27 · 17:10O. Miklukha3.00131080V. Kondratenko1.361512113LSep 27 · 14:40V. Kucheriavyi2.5011117113V. Kondratenko1.50591151LSep 27 · 12:40S. Osipov2.631111133V. Kondratenko1.4486110WSep 27 · 10:40V. Varchenko2.635560V. Kondratenko1.441111113LSep 20 · 17:10V. Kondratenko1.40119971S. Kovalenko2.7581111113WSep 20 · 15:10V. Varchenko2.7511831142V. Kondratenko1.40311118113WSep 20 · 14:10V. Kondratenko1.7311101311103V. Mykhalchenko2.0081215932WSep 20 · 13:10O. Stopin3.001174111V. Kondratenko1.3671111133LSep 20 · 11:40V. Kondratenko1.8311711592Y. Korotin1.83711811113WSep 16 · 12:20V. Kondratenko1.6711916123D. Khavanskyi2.1041114101
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