TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Potensky vs Jaromir Cernik 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113711––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeJan Potensky to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Potensky above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 62 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jan Potensky at 76.6%
62 points played in total.
H2H Jan Potensky 13–2 Jaromir Cernik Jaromir Cernik has won 2 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Potensky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-2 in 15
Potensky
Wrong
gap of 11 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Potensky 1208 vs Cernik 1140
Potensky
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Potensky 40% vs Cernik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Potensky 60% vs Cernik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Potensky -2 · Cernik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Potensky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPotensky 1.30 / Cernik 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Potensky)+4.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200163
Potensky1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 28 days ago (Aug 31) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 44 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Cernik3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 26)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 54 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePotensky9wins
AwayCernik1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPotensky leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePotensky100%8 of 8
AwayCernikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Potensky8Cernik2n = 10Potensky took 8 of 10
S2Potensky7Cernik3n = 10Potensky took 7 of 10
S3Potensky6Cernik4n = 10Potensky took 6 of 10
S4Potensky4Cernik0n = 4Potensky took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPotenskyCernikP − CBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.626.9+9.7per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPotenskyCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 481 vs 358 / 78747.6%45.5%229 / 481 vs 358 / 787Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotenskyPotensky 1.30/Cernik 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Potensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 00:00J. Potensky199820J. Cernik331111113
WJul 27 · 02:58J. Potensky4211119113J. Cernik24251161
WJul 27 · 01:00J. Potensky341211113J. Cernik2710980
WJul 24 · 00:00J. Potensky4111811113J. Cernik31411881
WMay 11 · 01:00J. Potensky331111113J. Cernik196580
WApr 13 · 01:00J. Potensky341112113J. Cernik2671090
WMar 16 · 00:30J. Potensky331111113J. Cernik207580
WMar 10 · 01:30J. Potensky331111113J. Cernik112180
WMar 4 · 07:30J. Potensky47511911113J. Cernik3811311672
WNov 4 · 10:00J. Potensky501171011113J. Cernik4021112692
J. Potensky10
LAug 31 · 03:00J. Potensky1.6011391192A. Hejduk2.20411119113LAug 31 · 02:30J. Potensky2.00951141M. Vaclavik1.7311119113WAug 31 · 01:30D. Mutl1.91811771J. Potensky1.8011511113WAug 31 · 00:00J. Potensky1.53111143163A. Hejduk2.38751111142LAug 30 · 23:00J. Grohsgott1.83111110113J. Potensky1.83951261WAug 27 · 09:30J. Potensky1.8371111113J. Grohsgott1.83117331WAug 27 · 08:00J. Grohsgott1.678780J. Potensky2.101111113WAug 27 · 07:00V. Stach1.91811781J. Potensky1.8011511113WAug 27 · 06:30J. Potensky1.5751211113A. Hejduk2.251110671LAug 24 · 09:28J. Svec1.8311514113J. Potensky1.834111251
J. Cernik10
LSep 26 · 13:04M. Vrabec1.3511711123J. Cernik2.909115101LSep 26 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.36111011113J. Cernik3.00712381WSep 26 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.331711117102J. Cernik3.25194911123LSep 26 · 10:30J. Cernik2.759660M. Vrabec1.401111113WSep 26 · 08:58D. Tomasch1.229460J. Cernik4.001111113LSep 26 · 08:00D. Tomasch1.301111113J. Cernik3.408260LSep 26 · 07:00L. Novotny1.80119115123J. Cernik1.91811811102WSep 26 · 06:30J. Cernik2.6311119113J. Martinek1.44481181WSep 21 · 13:01M. Vaclavik1.836790J. Cernik1.831111113WSep 21 · 12:30M. Smesny1.838711131J. Cernik1.8311114153
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