TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Ogon vs Michal Jozefiak 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13151513119116––
Michal Jozefiak
Away
No price at publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:16 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeRafal Ogon to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
13151513119116––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:16What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
No price
—
No value
no price published for this match
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ogon 1082 vs Jozefiak 1177
Jozefiak
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ogon 40% vs Jozefiak 20%
Ogon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ogon 20% vs Jozefiak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ogon +1 · Jozefiak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Ogon)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
No odds data available
TT Elite Series · #13200055
Ogon
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 21) · back after a break
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Jozefiak
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 24)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOgonJozefiakBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 428 vs 3 / 1025.2%30%108 / 428 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match33.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
OgonRead onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Ogon · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ogon won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Ogon10
LSep 27 · 16:25R. Adach1.451111123R. Ogon2.5084100WSep 21 · 02:45R. Ogon4.55111211153S. Szostok1.107144131LSep 21 · 01:10R. Ogon2.854750P. Slosarczyk1.361111113LSep 21 · 00:00R. Ogon3.0581111111O. Sokolowski1.2511135133LSep 20 · 22:25R. Ogon3.0010680M. Sikon1.341211113WSep 20 · 21:10R. Ogon2.95121111113J. Nowak1.33149991LSep 20 · 20:00M. Sikon1.3312114113R. Ogon3.001041191LSep 20 · 19:10P. Slosarczyk1.401211123R. Ogon2.75109100LSep 20 · 18:25R. Ogon4.55811111132S. Szostok1.10118137113LSep 20 · 16:50R. Ogon2.5551111862J. Nowak1.45117711113
M. Jozefiak10
LSep 24 · 14:20M. Jozefiak2.25811120L. Oracz1.571113143WSep 24 · 12:40K. Schaniel1.8011511642M. Jozefiak1.91911811113LSep 24 · 11:50I. Szymanski2.38117129113M. Jozefiak1.53811101192LSep 24 · 11:00M. Jozefiak1.6711511982W. Urban2.10811711113LSep 24 · 09:50M. Jozefiak1.831110111192O. Jadach1.83612139113LSep 24 · 08:10M. Jozefiak—9770L. Oracz—1111113LSep 24 · 06:30K. Schaniel—11117113M. Jozefiak—831161WSep 24 · 05:40O. Jadach—111070M. Jozefiak—1312113WSep 24 · 04:55M. Jozefiak—111110113W. Urban—981291LSep 24 · 03:50M. Jozefiak—961161I. Szymanski—11116113
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