TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Jozefiak vs Wojciech Urban 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Michal Jozefiak
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–4Last 6Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118511117911811
Wojciech Urban
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:28 and never touched — 50.0% is still 50.0%
Final score unavailable — not graded hereEven read — no favourite
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Pick
NoneHow it is goingMichal Jozefiak above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Michal Jozefiak at 50.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Michal Jozefiak 1–0 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:28What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jozefiak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jozefiak 1182 vs Urban 1387
Urban
Correct
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jozefiak 40% vs Urban 60%
Urban
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jozefiak 33% vs Urban 70%
Urban
Correct
37pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jozefiak -3 · Urban +2
Jozefiak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jozefiak) · live re-read · sealed at 50% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJozefiak 1.67 / Urban 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jozefiak)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13187530
Jozefiak1.67
33%won 2 of 6 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 3 of 6
Urban2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 214 of 525
Down 0–1, comes back19% 54 of 287
Down 0–2, comes back6% 11 of 172
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJozefiak1wins
AwayUrban0wins
Jozefiak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJozefiakUrbanJ − UBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.038.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJozefiakUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 6 vs 788 / 166933.3%47.2%2 / 6 vs 788 / 1669Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JozefiakJozefiak 1.67/Urban 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Jozefiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 24 · 04:55M. Jozefiak43111110113W. Urban38981291
M. Jozefiak6
LSep 24 · 09:50M. Jozefiak1.831110111192O. Jadach1.83612139113LSep 24 · 08:10M. Jozefiak—9770L. Oracz—1111113LSep 24 · 06:30K. Schaniel—11117113M. Jozefiak—831161WSep 24 · 05:40O. Jadach—111070M. Jozefiak—1312113WSep 24 · 04:55M. Jozefiak—111110113W. Urban—981291LSep 24 · 03:50M. Jozefiak—961161I. Szymanski—11116113
W. Urban10
WSep 24 · 09:25K. Schaniel1.6171191192W. Urban2.20118119113WSep 24 · 08:35O. Jadach1.911051161W. Urban1.8012118113LSep 24 · 07:20W. Urban1.9112913121L. Oracz1.80101115143WSep 24 · 06:05I. Szymanski2.751110871W. Urban1.4061211113LSep 24 · 04:55M. Jozefiak—111110113W. Urban—981291WSep 24 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310490W. Urban2.001211113WSep 23 · 14:40W. Urban2.001111128113S. Szostok1.7335141192WSep 23 · 13:05W. Urban1.3011118153P. Slosarczyk3.408411131LSep 23 · 11:50W. Urban1.91101090P. Przewlocki1.801212113WSep 23 · 10:10W. Urban2.00981111123P. Polok1.73111117102
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