TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Igor Szymanski vs Wojciech Urban 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1161012811711––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:41 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Wojciech Urban at 75.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 3–14 Wojciech Urban Igor Szymanski has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-14 in 17
Urban
Correct
gap of 11 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1156 vs Urban 1362
Urban
Correct
both rated, 206 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Urban 60%
Urban
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 30% vs Urban 50%
Urban
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -1 · Urban -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 2.75 / Urban 1.40
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Urban)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13183301
Szymanski2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 84 of 395
Down 0–1, comes back11% 29 of 268
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 192
Urban1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 168 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it97% 68 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it74% 120 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymanski2wins
AwayUrban8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderUrban leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski16.7%1 of 6
AwayUrban75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski6Urban4n = 10Szymanski took 6 of 10
S2Szymanski1Urban9n = 10Urban took 9 of 10
S3Szymanski3Urban7n = 10Urban took 7 of 10
S4Szymanski5Urban3n = 8Szymanski took 5 of 8
S5Szymanski1Urban4n = 5Urban took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymanskiUrbanS − UBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.946.3−6.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 434 vs 786 / 166623.3%47.2%101 / 434 vs 786 / 1666Avg sets wonper match1.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match32.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanSzymanski 2.75/Urban 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 06:05I. Szymanski361110871W. Urban4061211113
LSep 16 · 12:15I. Szymanski43111231162W. Urban53814119113
WSep 16 · 08:35I. Szymanski571191511113W. Urban5491117892
WAug 20 · 06:25I. Szymanski4451711113W. Urban421115791
LAug 20 · 02:45I. Szymanski48121291142W. Urban531014117113
LAug 17 · 02:45I. Szymanski164660W. Urban331111113
LAug 16 · 23:05I. Szymanski5117511992W. Urban531511511113
LAug 11 · 05:05I. Szymanski391181191W. Urban4313118113
LAug 10 · 20:45I. Szymanski501510212112W. Urban5913121110133
LAug 10 · 05:05I. Szymanski151590W. Urban331111113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 24 · 06:55O. Jadach1.17511117113I. Szymanski4.5011981172LSep 24 · 04:30I. Szymanski4.334980L. Oracz1.201111113WSep 24 · 03:50M. Jozefiak—961161I. Szymanski—11116113LSep 23 · 08:45I. Szymanski4.655380M. Lebek1.141111113LSep 23 · 07:10I. Szymanski4.35691191P. Adamus1.1611118113LSep 23 · 06:00I. Szymanski3.1012512542M. Sikon1.3010111011113LSep 23 · 04:25I. Szymanski2.605560R. Idaczyk1.441111113LSep 23 · 03:10I. Szymanski2.501220M. Paszkiewicz1.461111113WSep 22 · 08:45I. Szymanski2.551111113J. Kaczmarek1.459790WSep 22 · 07:10I. Szymanski1.6371111113K. Kowalski2.15118781
W. Urban10
LSep 24 · 04:55M. Jozefiak—111110113W. Urban—981291WSep 24 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.6110490W. Urban2.201211113WSep 23 · 14:40W. Urban2.001111128113S. Szostok1.7335141192WSep 23 · 13:05W. Urban1.3011118153P. Slosarczyk3.408411131LSep 23 · 11:50W. Urban1.91101090P. Przewlocki1.801212113WSep 23 · 10:10W. Urban2.00981111123P. Polok1.73111117102LSep 23 · 09:00W. Urban2.3812119682K. Slawinski1.531091111113LSep 23 · 07:45P. Polok1.73111149113W. Urban2.0089111172WSep 23 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk3.0055120W. Urban1.361111143LSep 23 · 06:05W. Urban2.3871111892S. Szostok1.53115311113
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