TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Schaniel vs Wojciech Urban 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012411911––––
Wojciech Urban
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:30 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Schaniel above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Krzysztof Schaniel at 58.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 58–42 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 42 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:30What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Schaniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-42 in 100
Schaniel
Wrong
gap of 16 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1349 vs Urban 1376
Urban
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 40% vs Urban 60%
Urban
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 40% vs Urban 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel +1 · Urban +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Schaniel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 1.61 / Urban 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Schaniel)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13183264
Schaniel1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 17) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 195 of 332
Up 2–0, closes it90% 97 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it76% 148 of 195
Urban2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 212 of 520
Down 0–1, comes back19% 53 of 284
Down 0–2, comes back6% 10 of 169
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel8wins
AwayUrban2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSchaniel leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel83.3%5 of 6
AwayUrban25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel6Urban4n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S2Schaniel6Urban4n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S3Schaniel5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S4Schaniel7Urban2n = 9Schaniel took 7 of 9
S5Schaniel3Urban1n = 4Schaniel took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielUrbanS − UBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.935.7+6.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime870 / 1746 vs 784 / 166349.8%47.1%870 / 1746 vs 784 / 1663Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSchaniel 1.61/Urban 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 24:50K. Schaniel351113113W. Urban2171130
WAug 24 · 17:30K. Schaniel3961111113W. Urban27114391
WAug 24 · 01:10K. Schaniel3911611113W. Urban28611561
WAug 23 · 17:30K. Schaniel44111111113W. Urban34813941
LAug 15 · 07:10K. Schaniel321141071W. Urban4171112113
WAug 11 · 02:10K. Schaniel42411511113W. Urban4111611852
LAug 10 · 23:05K. Schaniel4591111862W. Urban50119811113
WAug 10 · 02:45K. Schaniel501111611113W. Urban3913311572
WAug 9 · 23:05K. Schaniel4213117113W. Urban341151171
WJul 27 · 01:10K. Schaniel51119911113W. Urban4281111482
K. Schaniel10
WSep 24 · 05:15K. Schaniel2.201111107113L. Oracz1.6169121142LSep 24 · 04:10O. Jadach1.5081112113K. Schaniel2.501191081WSep 17 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.232970K. Schaniel1.531111113LSep 17 · 15:30W. Buczynski2.2211811113K. Schaniel1.54511771LSep 17 · 14:45K. Schaniel1.809590O. Sokolowski1.911111113LSep 17 · 13:10K. Schaniel1.8058131342M. Baron1.8311111111113WSep 17 · 12:20K. Slawinski1.555111111112K. Schaniel2.25115139133WSep 17 · 11:05K. Schaniel1.7511115133O. Sokolowski1.893111111LSep 17 · 09:30K. Schaniel1.6811811962W. Buczynski2.05511311113LSep 17 · 08:20K. Schaniel2.25911481K. Slawinski1.5511711113
W. Urban10
WSep 24 · 06:05I. Szymanski2.751110871W. Urban1.4061211113LSep 24 · 04:55M. Jozefiak—111110113W. Urban—981291WSep 23 · 14:40W. Urban2.001111128113S. Szostok1.7335141192WSep 23 · 13:05W. Urban1.3011118153P. Slosarczyk3.408411131LSep 23 · 11:50W. Urban1.91101090P. Przewlocki1.801212113WSep 23 · 10:10W. Urban2.00981111123P. Polok1.73111117102LSep 23 · 09:00W. Urban2.3812119682K. Slawinski1.531091111113LSep 23 · 07:45P. Polok1.73111149113W. Urban2.0089111172WSep 23 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk3.0055120W. Urban1.361111143LSep 23 · 06:05W. Urban2.3871111892S. Szostok1.53115311113
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