TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Igor Szymanski vs Michal Jozefiak 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1187111210911119
Michal Jozefiak
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–5Last 7Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:38 and never touched — 50.0% is still 50.0%
Final score unavailable — not graded hereEven read — no favourite
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Pick
NoneHow it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Michal Jozefiak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 99 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Igor Szymanski at 50.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 1–0 Michal Jozefiak Michal Jozefiak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:38What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jozefiak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1119 vs Jozefiak 1158
Jozefiak
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 0% vs Jozefiak 20%
Jozefiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 10% vs Jozefiak 29%
Jozefiak
Wrong
19pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -6 · Jozefiak -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jozefiak) · live re-read · sealed at 50% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jozefiak form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 2.38 / Jozefiak 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Jozefiak)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13187646
Szymanski2.38
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog21% won 84 of 395
Down 0–1, comes back11% 29 of 268
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 192
Jozefiak1.53
29%won 2 of 7 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest57%takes the first set · 4 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayJozefiak0wins
Szymanski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSzymanskiJozefiakS − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.032.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiJozefiakBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 438 vs 2 / 723.1%28.6%101 / 438 vs 2 / 7Avg sets wonper match1.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match33.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JozefiakSzymanski 2.38/Jozefiak 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Jozefiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 24 · 03:50I. Szymanski3911116113M. Jozefiak32961161
I. Szymanski10
LSep 24 · 10:10I. Szymanski3.0011111191K. Schaniel1.3613139113LSep 24 · 09:00I. Szymanski4.50121111972L. Oracz1.171021311113LSep 24 · 07:45K. Schaniel1.36111111133I. Szymanski3.001376111LSep 24 · 06:55O. Jadach1.17511117113I. Szymanski4.5011981172LSep 24 · 06:05I. Szymanski2.751110871W. Urban1.4061211113LSep 24 · 04:30I. Szymanski4.334980L. Oracz1.201111113WSep 24 · 03:50M. Jozefiak—961161I. Szymanski—11116113LSep 23 · 08:45I. Szymanski4.655380M. Lebek1.141111113LSep 23 · 07:10I. Szymanski4.35691191P. Adamus1.1611118113LSep 23 · 06:00I. Szymanski3.1012512542M. Sikon1.3010111011113
M. Jozefiak8
WSep 24 · 12:40K. Schaniel1.8011511642M. Jozefiak1.91911811113LSep 24 · 11:00M. Jozefiak1.6711511982W. Urban2.10811711113LSep 24 · 09:50M. Jozefiak1.831110111192O. Jadach1.83612139113LSep 24 · 08:10M. Jozefiak—9770L. Oracz—1111113LSep 24 · 06:30K. Schaniel—11117113M. Jozefiak—831161WSep 24 · 05:40O. Jadach—111070M. Jozefiak—1312113WSep 24 · 04:55M. Jozefiak—111110113W. Urban—981291LSep 24 · 03:50M. Jozefiak—961161I. Szymanski—11116113
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