TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Placek vs Lukas Malek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
111119119––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Placek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Placek above · Lukas Malek below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 52 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Marek Placek at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Marek Placek 2–4 Lukas Malek Marek Placek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:48What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Malek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Malek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Placek 1478 vs Malek 1408
Placek
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Placek 60% vs Malek 40%
Placek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Placek 70% vs Malek 30%
Placek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Placek -1 · Malek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Placek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlacek 1.83 / Malek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Placek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13199118
Placek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Malek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 25)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePlacek2wins
AwayMalek4wins
3 of 6 to a deciderMalek leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlacek33.3%1 of 3
AwayMalek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Placek3Malek3n = 6split evenly
S2Placek2Malek4n = 6Malek took 4 of 6
S3Placek3Malek3n = 6split evenly
S4Placek1Malek2n = 3Malek took 2 of 3
S5Placek1Malek2n = 3Malek took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricPlacekMalekP − MBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match35.836.8−1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlacekMalekBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 401 vs 191 / 39151.9%48.9%208 / 401 vs 191 / 391Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlacekPlacek 1.83/Malek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Placek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Placek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LMar 16 · 12:00M. Placek4211911832L. Malek42311611113
WFeb 25 · 11:00M. Placek331111113L. Malek145360
WJan 12 · 11:30M. Placek50912711113L. Malek46111011862
LAug 22 · 13:30M. Placek2710890L. Malek341211113
LAug 22 · 11:30M. Placek168440L. Malek331111113
LMay 31 · 12:00M. Placek4711812972L. Malek529111011113
M. Placek10
LSep 27 · 09:29M. Placek1.531411871F. Briza2.3816911113WSep 27 · 08:00M. Placek1.44711116113D. Horak2.6311691172WSep 27 · 07:30A. Svoboda1.8381111542M. Placek1.83118711113WSep 27 · 06:00M. Placek1.611211123F. Briza2.20104100LSep 19 · 03:30M. Placek1.618860A. Svoboda2.201111113WSep 19 · 02:30M. Placek1.911111113A. Svoboda1.809790WSep 19 · 01:30O. Kucirek2.3811911992M. Placek1.53711411113WSep 19 · 00:00M. Placek1.44111111123D. Horak2.631347101WSep 18 · 23:00F. Briza2.201112991M. Placek1.6161411113LSep 13 · 02:58A. Mikuska1.531111113M. Placek2.386950
L. Malek10
WSep 25 · 13:00L. Malek1.671111113A. Svoboda2.109590LSep 25 · 12:00K. Darin1.4411117113L. Malek2.63581191LSep 25 · 11:00J. Steffan1.4411118113L. Malek2.63571171WSep 25 · 10:30L. Malek1.7311716113A. Svoboda2.004111451LSep 7 · 13:00V. Postelt1.20411811113L. Malek4.3311611852LSep 7 · 12:30L. Malek2.253650J. Plachy1.571111113LSep 7 · 11:00L. Malek2.6381171132J. Trefny1.44119119113LSep 7 · 10:00V. Postelt1.401111113L. Malek2.752690WSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860
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