TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Placek vs Frantisek Briza 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101141210––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:06 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMarek Placek to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Placek above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Marek Placek at 56.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Marek Placek 25–16 Frantisek Briza Frantisek Briza has won 16 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Placek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-16 in 41
Placek
Correct
gap of 9 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Placek 1465 vs Briza 1394
Placek
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Placek 80% vs Briza 60%
Placek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Placek 50% vs Briza 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Placek -1 · Briza -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Placek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlacek 1.61 / Briza 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Placek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13199194
Placek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 19) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 43 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Briza2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 25)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 76 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlacek8wins
AwayBriza2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPlacek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlacek100%7 of 7
AwayBriza66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Placek7Briza3n = 10Placek took 7 of 10
S2Placek9Briza1n = 10Placek took 9 of 10
S3Placek4Briza6n = 10Briza took 6 of 10
S4Placek4Briza3n = 7Placek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlacekBrizaP − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.635.3+4.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlacekBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 398 vs 372 / 81551.8%45.6%206 / 398 vs 372 / 815Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlacekPlacek 1.61/Briza 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Placek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Placek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 06:00M. Placek351211123F. Briza24104100
WSep 18 · 23:00M. Placek4261411113F. Briza411112991
LSep 12 · 23:30M. Placek368116111F. Briza4011511133
WSep 12 · 20:58M. Placek4312119113F. Briza371081181
WSep 12 · 20:30M. Placek331111113F. Briza258890
WAug 28 · 19:30M. Placek511111117113F. Briza4049131132
WAug 28 · 14:30M. Placek4212127113F. Briza3810101171
LJun 16 · 03:30M. Placek29711561F. Briza4211911113
WJun 15 · 22:30M. Placek331111113F. Briza216960
WJun 14 · 10:30M. Placek52119813113F. Briza45611111162
M. Placek10
LSep 19 · 03:30M. Placek1.618860A. Svoboda2.201111113WSep 19 · 02:30M. Placek1.911111113A. Svoboda1.809790WSep 19 · 01:30O. Kucirek2.3811911992M. Placek1.53711411113WSep 19 · 00:00M. Placek1.44111111123D. Horak2.631347101WSep 18 · 23:00F. Briza2.201112991M. Placek1.6161411113LSep 13 · 02:58A. Mikuska1.531111113M. Placek2.386950LSep 13 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571081111113M. Placek2.2512116962LSep 13 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.101211113M. Placek1.6710890LSep 12 · 23:30M. Placek1.578116111F. Briza2.2511511133WSep 12 · 22:00M. Placek1.831111113M. Kolar1.838870
F. Briza10
WSep 27 · 07:00F. Briza2.25981111113D. Horak1.5711118892LSep 25 · 17:30D. Horak1.611311113F. Briza2.2011980WSep 25 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.6744100F. Briza2.101111123LSep 25 · 15:30F. Briza2.2012870D. Horak1.611411113WSep 25 · 14:30O. Fejtek1.83810111182F. Briza1.83111269113WSep 20 · 09:30D. Horak1.6011511932F. Briza2.20411411113WSep 20 · 08:30F. Briza2.0041112113T. Kolenic1.731171081WSep 20 · 07:00F. Briza1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20611761LSep 18 · 23:00F. Briza2.201112991M. Placek1.6161411113WSep 12 · 23:30M. Placek1.578116111F. Briza2.2511511133
Upcoming Matches
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