TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111171210118––
Tibor Kolenic
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:10 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Tibor Kolenic below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Tibor Kolenic at 54.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 39–56 Tibor Kolenic Frantisek Briza has won 39 of their 95 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolenic
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-56 in 95
Kolenic
Wrong
gap of 17 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1364 vs Kolenic 1458
Kolenic
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 20% vs Kolenic 60%
Kolenic
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 30% vs Kolenic 70%
Kolenic
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza +1 · Kolenic +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kolenic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 2.00 / Kolenic 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kolenic)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159409
Briza2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 76 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 68
Kolenic1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 69 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it71% 55 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza2wins
AwayKolenic8wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKolenic leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza20%1 of 5
AwayKolenic80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza5Kolenic5n = 10split evenly
S2Briza4Kolenic6n = 10Kolenic took 6 of 10
S3Briza3Kolenic7n = 10Kolenic took 7 of 10
S4Briza3Kolenic5n = 8Kolenic took 5 of 8
S5Briza2Kolenic5n = 7Kolenic took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaKolenicB − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.843.2−3.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaKolenicBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 828 vs 255 / 54845.2%46.5%374 / 828 vs 255 / 548Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenicBriza 2.00/Kolenic 1.73
Miss
What we said
54.9%
Kolenic · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 17:30F. Briza4311911392T. Kolenic48911611113
WSep 18 · 16:30F. Briza45751111113T. Kolenic4511115992
LSep 16 · 16:30F. Briza34611981T. Kolenic3911611113
LSep 15 · 16:30F. Briza4611119872T. Kolenic49881111113
LAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza3981141152T. Kolenic45116116113
LAug 28 · 20:30F. Briza551211118132T. Kolenic571013811153
LAug 22 · 21:29F. Briza227870T. Kolenic331111113
LAug 22 · 19:00F. Briza226880T. Kolenic331111113
LAug 7 · 17:01F. Briza4711891182T. Kolenic43511115113
WAug 7 · 16:30F. Briza45111175113T. Kolenic4085111152
F. Briza10
WSep 20 · 09:30D. Horak1.6011511932F. Briza2.20411411113WSep 20 · 07:00F. Briza1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20611761LSep 20 · 06:00D. Horak1.61691211113F. Briza2.20111110952LSep 19 · 02:00D. Horak1.57811411113F. Briza2.2511711692LSep 19 · 24:30F. Briza1.337111091O. Kucirek3.2511712113LSep 18 · 23:00F. Briza2.201112991M. Placek1.6161411113LSep 18 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.80112911113F. Briza1.9171111762LSep 18 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.38911611113F. Briza1.5311911392WSep 18 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.6711115992F. Briza2.10751111113WSep 18 · 15:30F. Briza2.2512116113D. Horak1.571081151
T. Kolenic10
WSep 20 · 08:58T. Kolenic2.101111113V. Dolezal1.678580WSep 20 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.00861111113D. Horak1.7311119992LSep 20 · 06:30V. Dolezal1.9111111113T. Kolenic1.80811511WSep 18 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.38911611113F. Briza1.5311911392LSep 18 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.6711115992F. Briza2.10751111113WSep 18 · 15:00T. Kolenic1.8391311123A. Svoboda1.8311119101WSep 18 · 14:00D. Horak1.50411661T. Kolenic2.5011611113LSep 16 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.20118461Y. Holovatiuk1.6021111113WSep 16 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.8011611113F. Briza1.91611981WSep 16 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.3851113113Y. Holovatiuk1.531171171
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.