TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jaroslav Sindler vs Peter Chvojka 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117811911––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:56 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Peter Chvojka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 64.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 4–2 Peter Chvojka Peter Chvojka has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sindler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Sindler
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1427 vs Chvojka 1368
Sindler
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 40% vs Chvojka 0%
Sindler
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 40% vs Chvojka 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler -2 · Chvojka -7
Chvojka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chvojka form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.53 / Chvojka 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Sindler)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13197705
Sindler1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 138 of 257
Up 2–0, closes it89% 49 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it69% 90 of 131
Chvojka2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 40 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSindler4wins
AwayChvojka2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSindler leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler100%4 of 4
AwayChvojkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler4Chvojka2n = 6Sindler took 4 of 6
S2Sindler3Chvojka3n = 6split evenly
S3Sindler1Chvojka5n = 6Chvojka took 5 of 6
S4Sindler4Chvojka1n = 5Sindler took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSindlerChvojkaS − CBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.739.5+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerChvojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 816 vs 148 / 32252%46%424 / 816 vs 148 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.53/Chvojka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chvojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 26 · 06:40J. Sindler33511891P. Chvojka4011711113
WSep 14 · 11:10J. Sindler53148911113P. Chvojka51121111892
LAug 24 · 08:15J. Sindler2358100P. Chvojka341111123
WAug 10 · 11:15J. Sindler4214611113P. Chvojka391211971
WAug 6 · 06:15J. Sindler46141110113P. Chvojka341221281
WAug 5 · 06:15J. Sindler4111126123P. Chvojka3981011101
J. Sindler10
LSep 26 · 05:40J. Sindler1.50912511102L. Jr2.501110116123LSep 25 · 09:14M. Janik1.6791113113J. Sindler2.101191171WSep 25 · 08:15J. Sindler1.831111113I. Jemelka1.839390WSep 25 · 06:45O. Skvor1.5712115942J. Sindler2.251091111113LSep 25 · 06:15M. Janik1.61571111113J. Sindler2.2011116892LSep 23 · 08:43J. Sindler1.73111061152A. Strelec2.00512118113LSep 23 · 07:45J. Sindler1.738119101I. Jemelka2.0011511123WSep 23 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7361111153A. Strelec2.001138131LSep 23 · 05:45J. Sindler1.6111119572P. Chlad2.20871111113WSep 21 · 09:25A. Strelec2.00811511132J. Sindler1.73113119153
P. Chvojka10
LSep 26 · 06:10I. Jemelka1.801111113P. Chvojka1.915650LSep 23 · 20:50V. Reska1.61117411113P. Chvojka2.2091111892LSep 23 · 20:15K. Zeman1.5781113113P. Chvojka2.251161161LSep 23 · 19:15P. Chvojka1.911041381F. Theodor1.80121111113LSep 23 · 17:45V. Reska1.61711611113P. Chvojka2.2011811692LSep 20 · 13:09F. Mandrysz2.1091111123P. Chvojka1.671149101LSep 20 · 11:45P. Chvojka1.5389111142F. Mandrysz2.38111116113WSep 20 · 10:45P. Chvojka1.281111113M. Sobota3.504550WSep 20 · 09:45P. Chvojka1.671111113L. Jr2.106580WSep 19 · 17:04I. Jemelka1.6145111192P. Chvojka2.20111197113
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