TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jaroslav Sindler vs Adam Strelec 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151012611118511
Adam Strelec
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Adam Strelec below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 90 set 5, 5-11
90 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 21–19 Adam Strelec Adam Strelec has won 19 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sindler beat Strelec 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strelec form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.73 / Strelec 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Sindler)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13182533
Sindler1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 139 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it70% 91 of 130
Strelec2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 35 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler5wins
AwayStrelec5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler80%4 of 5
AwayStrelec80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler5Strelec5n = 10split evenly
S2Sindler6Strelec4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S3Sindler5Strelec5n = 10split evenly
S4Sindler4Strelec4n = 8split evenly
S5Sindler2Strelec3n = 5Strelec took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerStrelecSindler − StrelecBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.240.5+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerStrelecBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 809 vs 121 / 24552.2%49.4%422 / 809 vs 121 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.73/Strelec 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strelec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 06:45J. Sindler4361111153A. Strelec351138131
WSep 21 · 09:25J. Sindler49113119153A. Strelec48811511132
LSep 21 · 06:40J. Sindler4481171172A. Strelec44117114113
LSep 14 · 07:40J. Sindler257990A. Strelec331111113
LSep 9 · 07:45J. Sindler4291111742A. Strelec44117411113
WSep 8 · 06:15J. Sindler331111113A. Strelec229580
LSep 2 · 06:10J. Sindler50139513102A. Strelec5611111111123
LSep 1 · 08:43J. Sindler358111151A. Strelec4411139113
WSep 1 · 07:40J. Sindler4011117113A. Strelec36891181
WAug 28 · 06:10J. Sindler511111810113A. Strelec4366111282
J. Sindler10
LSep 23 · 07:45J. Sindler1.738119101I. Jemelka2.0011511123WSep 23 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7361111153A. Strelec2.001138131LSep 23 · 05:45J. Sindler1.6111119572P. Chlad2.20871111113WSep 21 · 09:25A. Strelec2.00811511132J. Sindler1.73113119153WSep 21 · 07:40J. Sindler1.9111611113I. Jemelka1.80911571LSep 21 · 06:40J. Sindler1.7381171172A. Strelec2.00117114113WSep 21 · 05:40J. Sindler1.67512811113J. Matus2.10111011462WSep 20 · 09:15M. Sobota2.10311110J. Sindler1.671113133WSep 20 · 07:45J. Sindler1.7311414133J. Matus2.0061112111WSep 20 · 06:45J. Sindler1.6111116123F. Mandrysz2.209811101
A. Strelec10
LSep 23 · 08:15A. Strelec2.0010690P. Chlad1.731211113LSep 23 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7361111153A. Strelec2.001138131LSep 23 · 06:15I. Jemelka1.7312812113A. Strelec2.0010111091LSep 22 · 09:15J. Matus1.731111143A. Strelec2.0097120WSep 22 · 07:40A. Strelec1.531311113J. Sevecek2.3811470WSep 22 · 06:40A. Strelec1.83119811113J. Matus1.8391111982LSep 22 · 05:40A. Strelec1.5311691182L. Snr2.38711113113LSep 21 · 09:25A. Strelec2.00811511132J. Sindler1.73113119153WSep 21 · 08:10A. Strelec1.801012711113J. Matus1.91121011752WSep 21 · 06:40J. Sindler1.7381171172A. Strelec2.00117114113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.