TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jaroslav Sindler vs Ivan Jemelka 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119113119––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Ivan Jemelka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 6–8 Ivan Jemelka Jaroslav Sindler has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:35What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jemelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Jemelka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1468 vs Jemelka 1423
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 40% vs Jemelka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 50% vs Jemelka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler +1 · Jemelka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jemelka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.83 / Jemelka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sindler)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13191827
Sindler1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Jemelka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler5wins
AwayJemelka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler75%3 of 4
AwayJemelka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler4Jemelka6n = 10Jemelka took 6 of 10
S2Sindler6Jemelka4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S3Sindler5Jemelka5n = 10split evenly
S4Sindler3Jemelka5n = 8Jemelka took 5 of 8
S5Sindler2Jemelka1n = 3Sindler took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerJemelkaS − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.638.8+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerJemelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime423 / 812 vs 65 / 13452.1%48.5%423 / 812 vs 65 / 134Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.83/Jemelka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 07:45J. Sindler388119101I. Jemelka3911511123
WSep 21 · 07:40J. Sindler3911611113I. Jemelka32911571
LAug 26 · 06:10J. Sindler321011651I. Jemelka4012611113
LAug 24 · 07:15J. Sindler388101191I. Jemelka4011126113
WAug 14 · 10:45J. Sindler521011119113I. Jemelka4112561172
WAug 10 · 10:15J. Sindler4261411113I. Jemelka361112581
WJul 27 · 09:15J. Sindler331111113I. Jemelka259970
LJul 27 · 07:45J. Sindler45116101172I. Jemelka49711128113
LJul 11 · 16:53J. Sindler2511590I. Jemelka351311113
WJul 11 · 16:10J. Sindler52111196153I. Jemelka51971111132
J. Sindler10
WSep 25 · 06:45O. Skvor1.5712115942J. Sindler2.251091111113LSep 25 · 06:15M. Janik1.61571111113J. Sindler2.2011116892LSep 23 · 08:43J. Sindler1.73111061152A. Strelec2.00512118113LSep 23 · 07:45J. Sindler1.738119101I. Jemelka2.0011511123WSep 23 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7361111153A. Strelec2.001138131LSep 23 · 05:45J. Sindler1.6111119572P. Chlad2.20871111113WSep 21 · 09:25A. Strelec2.00811511132J. Sindler1.73113119153WSep 21 · 07:40J. Sindler1.9111611113I. Jemelka1.80911571LSep 21 · 06:40J. Sindler1.7381171172A. Strelec2.00117114113WSep 21 · 05:40J. Sindler1.67512811113J. Matus2.10111011462
I. Jemelka10
WSep 25 · 08:44I. Jemelka1.801111113O. Skvor1.917980LSep 25 · 07:15I. Jemelka2.0015351192M. Janik1.731311118113WSep 25 · 05:45O. Skvor1.80312371I. Jemelka1.91111011113LSep 23 · 09:13P. Chlad1.801111113I. Jemelka1.916840WSep 23 · 07:45J. Sindler1.738119101I. Jemelka2.0011511123LSep 23 · 07:15P. Chlad1.73711311113I. Jemelka2.0011611982WSep 23 · 06:15I. Jemelka1.7312812113A. Strelec2.0010111091LSep 21 · 08:55J. Matus2.1011115113I. Jemelka1.65581181LSep 21 · 07:40J. Sindler1.9111611113I. Jemelka1.80911571LSep 21 · 07:10J. Matus2.2511111113I. Jemelka1.57911571
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