TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tomas Kanka vs Mikhail Taranko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116611114112––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:18 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Kanka to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kanka above · Mikhail Taranko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 62 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Tomas Kanka at 62.9%
62 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kanka 12–7 Mikhail Taranko Mikhail Taranko has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kanka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Kanka
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanka 1525 vs Taranko 1476
Kanka
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanka 40% vs Taranko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanka 30% vs Taranko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanka -1 · Taranko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kanka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanka form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanka 1.50 / Taranko 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kanka)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13197571
Kanka1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 36 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Taranko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 20 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back32% 10 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanka8wins
AwayTaranko2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKanka leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanka75%6 of 8
AwayTarankon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanka8Taranko2n = 10Kanka took 8 of 10
S2Kanka6Taranko4n = 10Kanka took 6 of 10
S3Kanka8Taranko2n = 10Kanka took 8 of 10
S4Kanka5Taranko2n = 7Kanka took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKankaTarankoK − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.228.8+10.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKankaTarankoBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 384 vs 74 / 15947.9%46.5%184 / 384 vs 74 / 159Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KankaKanka 1.50/Taranko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Kanka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kanka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 07:15T. Kanka3911611113M. Taranko23611421
LSep 12 · 05:15T. Kanka371141391M. Taranko4251115113
WJun 27 · 08:14T. Kanka331111113M. Taranko183690
WJun 27 · 06:45T. Kanka4181111113M. Taranko27115561
LJun 20 · 08:14T. Kanka521110121092M. Taranko538121012113
WJun 20 · 07:15T. Kanka331111113M. Taranko219750
WApr 11 · 06:15T. Kanka3911611113M. Taranko31511871
WMar 22 · 06:15T. Kanka4291111113M. Taranko28114671
WJan 31 · 09:19T. Kanka331111113M. Taranko135620
WJan 31 · 07:15T. Kanka4311118133M. Taranko324611111
T. Kanka10
LSep 26 · 06:15T. Kanka2.38711513102Z. Kuksa1.531171111123WSep 26 · 05:15T. Kanka1.83561111113R. Merkl1.8311116782WSep 25 · 16:13P. Provaznik1.44691151T. Kanka2.6311119113LSep 25 · 15:15T. Kanka1.73111011982A. Pavlik2.00612711113LSep 25 · 14:15T. Kanka2.631191181P. Provaznik1.4413114103LSep 25 · 13:15T. Kanka2.38116891L. Kolman1.5391111113LSep 20 · 08:33T. Kanka1.73911851D. Brichacek2.0011611113LSep 20 · 08:00T. Kanka2.2048110P. Orlowski1.611111133LSep 20 · 06:30L. Kolman1.50111196113T. Kanka2.5069111182WSep 20 · 06:00D. Brichacek1.6110880T. Kanka2.201211113
M. Taranko10
WSep 26 · 06:45M. Taranko1.8011115113R. Merkl1.91481161LSep 26 · 05:45M. Taranko1.67571181Z. Kuksa2.1011119113WSep 19 · 08:43M. Taranko2.001111113Z. Kuksa1.739850LSep 19 · 07:45Z. Kuksa2.001113113M. Taranko1.7391190LSep 19 · 06:45M. Soukup1.801111113M. Taranko1.916880LSep 19 · 05:15J. Botka2.20111112113M. Taranko1.61651441LSep 12 · 08:54D. Brichacek1.4081111113M. Taranko2.75119961WSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko1.73711127113Z. Kuksa2.00116101172LSep 12 · 06:15M. Taranko2.633870D. Brichacek1.441111113WSep 12 · 05:15M. Taranko2.6351115113T. Kanka1.441141391
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