TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tomas Kanka vs Zdenek Kuksa 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71111751113111012
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kuksa to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kanka above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 98 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Zdenek Kuksa at 62.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kanka 2–5 Zdenek Kuksa Tomas Kanka has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kuksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Kuksa
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanka 1525 vs Kuksa 1543
Kuksa
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanka 40% vs Kuksa 60%
Kuksa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanka 30% vs Kuksa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanka +2 · Kuksa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kuksa) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanka 2.38 / Kuksa 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kuksa)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13196396
Kanka2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 40 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Kuksa1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 75 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it86% 38 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it74% 61 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKanka2wins
AwayKuksa5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKuksa leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanka66.7%2 of 3
AwayKuksa100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanka3Kuksa4n = 7Kuksa took 4 of 7
S2Kanka4Kuksa3n = 7Kanka took 4 of 7
S3Kanka0Kuksa7n = 7Kuksa took 7 of 7
S4Kanka3Kuksa2n = 5Kanka took 3 of 5
S5Kanka1Kuksa2n = 3Kuksa took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKankaKuksaKanka − KuksaBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match35.743.4−7.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKankaKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 384 vs 263 / 51047.9%51.6%184 / 384 vs 263 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.340.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaKanka 2.38/Kuksa 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 26 · 06:15T. Kanka46711513102Z. Kuksa521171111123
LSep 12 · 08:24T. Kanka3118760Z. Kuksa422011113
LSep 12 · 06:45T. Kanka29711471Z. Kuksa4211911113
WJun 29 · 08:00T. Kanka471111311113Z. Kuksa4888111382
LJun 27 · 07:45T. Kanka197930Z. Kuksa331111113
WSep 6 · 09:15T. Kanka3911134113Z. Kuksa356111171
LSep 6 · 07:45T. Kanka39111041132Z. Kuksa52912119113
T. Kanka10
WSep 26 · 07:15T. Kanka1.5011611113M. Taranko2.50611421WSep 26 · 05:15T. Kanka1.83561111113R. Merkl1.8311116782WSep 25 · 16:13P. Provaznik1.44691151T. Kanka2.6311119113LSep 25 · 15:15T. Kanka1.73111011982A. Pavlik2.00612711113LSep 25 · 14:15T. Kanka2.631191181P. Provaznik1.4413114103LSep 25 · 13:15T. Kanka2.38116891L. Kolman1.5391111113LSep 20 · 08:33T. Kanka1.73911851D. Brichacek2.0011611113LSep 20 · 08:00T. Kanka2.2048110P. Orlowski1.611111133LSep 20 · 06:30L. Kolman1.50111196113T. Kanka2.5069111182WSep 20 · 06:00D. Brichacek1.6110880T. Kanka2.201211113
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 26 · 05:45M. Taranko1.67571181Z. Kuksa2.1011119113LSep 25 · 12:38L. Smazik2.201211143Z. Kuksa1.61106120WSep 25 · 11:30Z. Kuksa1.911111113L. Smazik1.808680LSep 25 · 10:30Z. Kuksa1.7311211872R. Merkl2.00711511113WSep 25 · 09:30Z. Kuksa3.25811115113M. Svitac1.3311791182LSep 21 · 12:28M. Hajek1.50891111113Z. Kuksa2.5011117762LSep 21 · 11:30Z. Kuksa2.2053111162M. Hajek1.61111197113WSep 21 · 10:30Z. Kuksa2.101181112113T. Hrstka1.6781191432LSep 21 · 09:30Z. Kuksa2.637760M. Svitac1.441111113LSep 19 · 08:43M. Taranko2.001111113Z. Kuksa1.739850
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