TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mikhail Taranko vs Zdenek Kuksa 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511711119811––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMikhail Taranko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMikhail Taranko above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Mikhail Taranko at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Mikhail Taranko 5–3 Zdenek Kuksa Zdenek Kuksa has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Taranko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Taranko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taranko 1483 vs Kuksa 1522
Kuksa
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taranko 20% vs Kuksa 40%
Kuksa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taranko 30% vs Kuksa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Taranko +1 · Kuksa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Taranko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taranko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaranko 1.67 / Kuksa 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Taranko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13196903
Taranko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 19) · back after a break
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 16 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Kuksa2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 49 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTaranko5wins
AwayKuksa3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderTaranko leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaranko80%4 of 5
AwayKuksa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taranko5Kuksa3n = 8Taranko took 5 of 8
S2Taranko6Kuksa2n = 8Taranko took 6 of 8
S3Taranko5Kuksa3n = 8Taranko took 5 of 8
S4Taranko1Kuksa3n = 4Kuksa took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricTarankoKuksaT − KBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match36.034.0+2.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTarankoKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 156 vs 261 / 51046.8%51.2%73 / 156 vs 261 / 510Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TarankoTaranko 1.67/Kuksa 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Taranko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 19 · 08:43M. Taranko331111113Z. Kuksa229850
LSep 19 · 07:45M. Taranko2991190Z. Kuksa351113113
WSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko48711127113Z. Kuksa45116101172
LAug 22 · 05:15M. Taranko4111118562Z. Kuksa46491111113
WAug 8 · 05:15M. Taranko4211911113Z. Kuksa34811781
WJun 27 · 05:45M. Taranko371115113Z. Kuksa2891360
LJun 6 · 06:15M. Taranko25411461Z. Kuksa3911611113
WSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko331111113Z. Kuksa236980
M. Taranko10
WSep 19 · 08:43M. Taranko2.001111113Z. Kuksa1.739850LSep 19 · 07:45Z. Kuksa2.001113113M. Taranko1.7391190LSep 19 · 06:45M. Soukup1.801111113M. Taranko1.916880LSep 19 · 05:15J. Botka2.20111112113M. Taranko1.61651441LSep 12 · 08:54D. Brichacek1.4081111113M. Taranko2.75119961WSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko1.73711127113Z. Kuksa2.00116101172LSep 12 · 06:15M. Taranko2.633870D. Brichacek1.441111113WSep 12 · 05:15M. Taranko2.6351115113T. Kanka1.441141391LSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 26 · 06:15T. Kanka2.38711513102Z. Kuksa1.531171111123LSep 25 · 12:38L. Smazik2.201211143Z. Kuksa1.61106120WSep 25 · 11:30Z. Kuksa1.911111113L. Smazik1.808680LSep 25 · 10:30Z. Kuksa1.7311211872R. Merkl2.00711511113WSep 25 · 09:30Z. Kuksa3.25811115113M. Svitac1.3311791182LSep 21 · 12:28M. Hajek1.50891111113Z. Kuksa2.5011117762LSep 21 · 11:30Z. Kuksa2.2053111162M. Hajek1.61111197113LSep 19 · 08:43M. Taranko2.001111113Z. Kuksa1.739850WSep 19 · 07:45Z. Kuksa2.001113113M. Taranko1.7391190LSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko1.73711127113Z. Kuksa2.00116101172
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