TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Ponomarenko vs Kostiantyn Tsoi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115116––––
Kostiantyn Tsoi
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeOleh Ponomarenko to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Ponomarenko above · Kostiantyn Tsoi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleh Ponomarenko at 69.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Ponomarenko 36–14 Kostiantyn Tsoi Kostiantyn Tsoi has won 14 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Ponomarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-14 in 50
Ponomarenko
Correct
gap of 22 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ponomarenko 1047 vs Tsoi 892
Ponomarenko
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponomarenko 80% vs Tsoi 40%
Ponomarenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponomarenko 50% vs Tsoi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponomarenko +4 · Tsoi -2
Ponomarenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Ponomarenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 1.40 / Tsoi 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13196576
Ponomarenko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 77 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it87% 55 of 63
Tsoi2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog10% won 2 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePonomarenko8wins
AwayTsoi2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPonomarenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePonomarenko88.9%8 of 9
AwayTsoin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ponomarenko9Tsoi1n = 10Ponomarenko took 9 of 10
S2Ponomarenko8Tsoi2n = 10Ponomarenko took 8 of 10
S3Ponomarenko5Tsoi4n = 9Ponomarenko took 5 of 9
S4Ponomarenko3Tsoi1n = 4Ponomarenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPonomarenkoTsoiP − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.231.6+6.6per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoTsoiBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 658 vs 26 / 9446.5%27.7%306 / 658 vs 26 / 94Avg sets wonper match1.91.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.331.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoPonomarenko 1.40/Tsoi 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 26 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko331111113K. Tsoi209560
LAug 15 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko367117111K. Tsoi4311811133
WMay 9 · 16:30O. Ponomarenko331111113K. Tsoi239860
WApr 18 · 09:35O. Ponomarenko481131011133K. Tsoi43311126112
WMar 29 · 09:35O. Ponomarenko331111113K. Tsoi165470
WAug 30 · 09:00O. Ponomarenko4111118113K. Tsoi35881181
LJul 27 · 10:30O. Ponomarenko53149101192K. Tsoi541211128113
WJul 26 · 07:00O. Ponomarenko331111113K. Tsoi257990
WJul 19 · 07:00O. Ponomarenko341211113K. Tsoi2510870
O. Ponomarenko10
WSep 26 · 04:30O. Ponomarenko1.361111143K. Vernudin3.0089120WSep 25 · 18:00O. Ponomarenko1.3311911113K. Vernudin3.25511851WSep 25 · 16:30O. Ponomarenko1.3313126113M. Mykhailenko3.2511101191WSep 25 · 15:00O. Ponomarenko1.83751111113V. Mykhalchenko1.8311116892LSep 25 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko1.1799120O. Efimov4.501111143LSep 25 · 12:00O. Ponomarenko1.4411116592D. Kunchurov2.63461111113LSep 12 · 10:30O. Ponomarenko1.67613391V. Mykhalchenko2.10111111113LSep 12 · 09:00O. Ponomarenko1.179650M. Mykhailenko4.501111113LSep 12 · 07:30O. Ponomarenko1.08117091S. Kuzko7.0071111113WSep 12 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko1.571111113M. Tkalich2.255780
K. Tsoi10
LSep 26 · 05:00O. Stopin1.221411113K. Tsoi4.0012820LSep 6 · 12:05K. Tsoi3.501110871M. Tkalich1.2861211113WSep 6 · 10:05M. Zaiats1.80411841K. Tsoi1.9111411113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580LAug 15 · 11:30M. Tkalich1.301111113K. Tsoi3.405880WAug 15 · 10:00K. Tsoi1.301112113S. Kuzko3.4081070WAug 15 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00111141192K. Tsoi1.14135119113WAug 15 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko1.307117111K. Tsoi3.4011811133
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