TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ales Cizek vs Daniel Vitasek 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311116116––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDaniel Vitasek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Cizek above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 58 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Daniel Vitasek at 54.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ales Cizek 8–12 Daniel Vitasek Ales Cizek has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:56What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vitasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-12 in 20
Vitasek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1480 vs Vitasek 1464
Cizek
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 40% vs Vitasek 20%
Cizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 30% vs Vitasek 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek -1 · Vitasek -3
Vitasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vitasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitasek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 1.91 / Vitasek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vitasek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13195173
Cizek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46
Vitasek1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 63 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it73% 49 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCizek6wins
AwayVitasek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCizek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCizek100%5 of 5
AwayVitasek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cizek5Vitasek5n = 10split evenly
S2Cizek4Vitasek6n = 10Vitasek took 6 of 10
S3Cizek8Vitasek2n = 10Cizek took 8 of 10
S4Cizek5Vitasek4n = 9Cizek took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCizekVitasekC − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.139.8+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 491 vs 301 / 63547.3%47.4%232 / 491 vs 301 / 635Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekCizek 1.91/Vitasek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 17:45A. Cizek48911116113D. Vitasek4711971192
LAug 3 · 17:40A. Cizek4999111192D. Vitasek46111176113
WJul 24 · 20:10A. Cizek4111811113D. Vitasek30811561
WJul 7 · 18:10A. Cizek4813915113D. Vitasek4311111381
LJul 3 · 20:40A. Cizek398111191D. Vitasek4111136113
LJul 3 · 17:40A. Cizek29661161D. Vitasek4011117113
LJun 20 · 13:45A. Cizek36813691D. Vitasek44111111113
WJun 17 · 20:45A. Cizek4312713113D. Vitasek3510111131
WJun 17 · 18:40A. Cizek45121210113D. Vitasek4110101291
WJun 9 · 20:10A. Cizek431411183D. Vitasek31123160
A. Cizek10
WSep 25 · 18:10M. Moravec1.368690A. Cizek3.001111113WSep 22 · 12:39M. Raska2.10119951A. Cizek1.6741111113LSep 22 · 12:10A. Cizek1.7381010M. Raska2.001112113LSep 22 · 10:40L. Kantor2.001711127113A. Cizek1.73197101142LSep 22 · 10:10M. Moravec1.441111143A. Cizek2.6366120LSep 20 · 08:44A. Cizek1.5710770T. Molin2.251211113LSep 20 · 07:40P. Marsalek1.73116511113A. Cizek2.0071111692LSep 20 · 07:10J. Przybyla2.10123611113A. Cizek1.67101111892WSep 20 · 06:10A. Cizek1.61781111113T. Molin2.2011118672WSep 18 · 17:25T. Molin4.0041311762A. Cizek1.221111711113
D. Vitasek10
LSep 25 · 20:40M. Moravec1.5311101318113D. Vitasek2.381312111682LSep 25 · 19:10D. Vitasek2.38111181392M. Moravec1.53681115113LSep 25 · 17:40A. Kanak1.67111112133D. Vitasek2.1061310111LSep 22 · 20:38D. Vitasek2.2561070T. Fojtik1.571112113WSep 22 · 20:15T. Fojtik1.806780D. Vitasek1.911111113LSep 22 · 19:15D. Vitasek1.8031251182J. Travnicek1.911110119113LSep 22 · 17:45D. Stusek1.2811119113D. Vitasek3.50971171WSep 20 · 20:54J. Travnicek1.839490D. Vitasek1.831111113LSep 20 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.9110111110113D. Vitasek1.8012851282LSep 20 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.6351211121J. Skvrna1.4411148143
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