TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Kanak vs Daniel Vitasek 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116111312101311––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:55 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeDaniel Vitasek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 87 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Daniel Vitasek at 54.9%
87 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 0–1 Daniel Vitasek Adam Kanak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:55What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1544 vs Vitasek 1488
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 20% vs Vitasek 40%
Vitasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 40% vs Vitasek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak -3 · Vitasek -1
Kanak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.67 / Vitasek 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kanak)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13193179
Kanak1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 23)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 35 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Vitasek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 87 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKanak0wins
AwayVitasek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVitasek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKanakVitasekK − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.054.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 134 vs 301 / 63356%47.6%75 / 134 vs 301 / 633Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.67/Vitasek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 14 · 18:10A. Kanak4141161462D. Vitasek541191112113
A. Kanak10
WSep 25 · 18:40A. Kanak1.571217123A. Cizek2.251015100LSep 23 · 16:45A. Kanak1.8011641282D. Jr1.918111110113LSep 23 · 16:15K. Kleprlik1.831211113A. Kanak1.8310680LSep 23 · 15:15A. Kanak2.751371211142B. Mrowetz1.401111148163WSep 23 · 13:45D. Jr1.80127811102A. Kanak1.911011118123LSep 21 · 21:13A. Kanak1.679880E. Precek2.101111113WSep 21 · 19:45E. Precek2.0051161172A. Kanak1.73119118113LSep 21 · 19:15D. Branny2.501111113A. Kanak1.507960WSep 21 · 18:15A. Kanak2.001191011113P. Vinansky1.7391112472WSep 21 · 16:40A. Kanak2.1511312113D. Skulina1.639111041
D. Vitasek10
LSep 22 · 20:38D. Vitasek2.2561070T. Fojtik1.571112113WSep 22 · 20:15T. Fojtik1.806780D. Vitasek1.911111113LSep 22 · 19:15D. Vitasek1.8031251182J. Travnicek1.911110119113LSep 22 · 17:45D. Stusek1.2811119113D. Vitasek3.50971171WSep 20 · 20:54J. Travnicek1.839490D. Vitasek1.831111113LSep 20 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.9110111110113D. Vitasek1.8012851282LSep 20 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.6351211121J. Skvrna1.4411148143LSep 20 · 17:45M. Macurak1.571111113D. Vitasek2.259990LSep 19 · 08:40D. Vitasek1.807111131E. Precek1.9111913113WSep 19 · 08:10D. Vitasek1.831111113E. Precek1.837840
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.