TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Moravec vs Ales Cizek 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Moravec to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Moravec above · Ales Cizek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Michal Moravec at 72.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Michal Moravec 14–6 Ales Cizek Ales Cizek has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Moravec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-6 in 20
Moravec
Wrong
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1638 vs Cizek 1471
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 100% vs Cizek 20%
Moravec
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 80% vs Cizek 40%
Moravec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +6 · Cizek +1
Moravec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cizek form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.36 / Cizek 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Moravec)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13193743
Moravec1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 22)
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 53 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it77% 39 of 51
Cizek3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec6wins
AwayCizek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec75%6 of 8
AwayCizekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec8Cizek2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10
S2Moravec5Cizek5n = 10split evenly
S3Moravec8Cizek2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10
S4Moravec3Cizek3n = 6split evenly
S5Moravec0Cizek3n = 3Cizek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecCizekM − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.435.8+2.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 395 vs 231 / 48950.9%47.2%201 / 395 vs 231 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.36/Cizek 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.8%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 10:10M. Moravec361111143A. Cizek2466120
LSep 18 · 15:45M. Moravec2212730A. Cizek361411113
WSep 17 · 15:40M. Moravec4311811133A. Cizek355118111
WSep 1 · 12:39M. Moravec4314311153A. Cizek3812112131
WSep 1 · 10:40M. Moravec331111113A. Cizek179710
LAug 24 · 20:43M. Moravec3511511352A. Cizek45511711113
WAug 24 · 20:15M. Moravec4112117113A. Cizek321081131
LAug 12 · 19:15M. Moravec4511513972A. Cizek517111111113
LJul 20 · 16:10M. Moravec53813131272A. Cizek5811111114113
WJul 17 · 16:49M. Moravec331111113A. Cizek229850
M. Moravec10
WSep 25 · 19:40A. Kanak2.001151111122M. Moravec1.73911135143WSep 25 · 19:10D. Vitasek2.38111181392M. Moravec1.53681115113WSep 22 · 13:09M. Moravec1.401111113L. Kantor2.759440WSep 22 · 11:40L. Kantor1.809930M. Moravec1.911111113WSep 22 · 11:10M. Raska2.2088130M. Moravec1.611111153WSep 22 · 10:10M. Moravec1.441111143A. Cizek2.6366120WSep 22 · 08:53M. Moravec2.001111113R. Benes1.732460WSep 22 · 08:15M. Moravec2.00111182113T. Kindl1.7397111182LSep 22 · 06:45T. Krenek1.8081118113M. Moravec1.911171691WSep 22 · 06:15R. Benes1.9111691192M. Moravec1.80711116113
A. Cizek10
LSep 25 · 18:40A. Kanak1.571217123A. Cizek2.251015100WSep 22 · 12:39M. Raska2.10119951A. Cizek1.6741111113LSep 22 · 12:10A. Cizek1.7381010M. Raska2.001112113LSep 22 · 10:40L. Kantor2.001711127113A. Cizek1.73197101142LSep 22 · 10:10M. Moravec1.441111143A. Cizek2.6366120LSep 20 · 08:44A. Cizek1.5710770T. Molin2.251211113LSep 20 · 07:40P. Marsalek1.73116511113A. Cizek2.0071111692LSep 20 · 07:10J. Przybyla2.10123611113A. Cizek1.67101111892WSep 20 · 06:10A. Cizek1.61781111113T. Molin2.2011118672WSep 18 · 17:25T. Molin4.0041311762A. Cizek1.221111711113
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