TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Roman Guliak vs Daniel Priesol 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181191210––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:18 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Guliak to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Daniel Priesol below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 61 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Roman Guliak at 60.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 10–3 Daniel Priesol Daniel Priesol has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Guliak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-3 in 13
Guliak
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1423 vs Priesol 1413
Guliak
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 60% vs Priesol 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 60% vs Priesol 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak -1 · Priesol -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Guliak) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priesol form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 1.44 / Priesol 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Guliak)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13194428
Guliak1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 47 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Priesol2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuliak7wins
AwayPriesol3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGuliak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak83.3%5 of 6
AwayPriesol50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak6Priesol4n = 10Guliak took 6 of 10
S2Guliak4Priesol6n = 10Priesol took 6 of 10
S3Guliak8Priesol2n = 10Guliak took 8 of 10
S4Guliak3Priesol3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuliakPriesolG − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.932.6+4.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakPriesolBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 678 vs 244 / 46849.9%52.1%338 / 678 vs 244 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakGuliak 1.44/Priesol 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Guliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 12:00R. Guliak31571181D. Priesol3911116113
WAug 16 · 06:30R. Guliak331111113D. Priesol172870
WJul 19 · 08:58R. Guliak4361111153D. Priesol381186131
LJul 19 · 08:30R. Guliak246990D. Priesol331111113
WJul 18 · 11:30R. Guliak341112113D. Priesol2891090
WJun 27 · 17:00R. Guliak3811511113D. Priesol34711971
LJun 27 · 14:00R. Guliak371191161D. Priesol4271113113
WJun 27 · 12:30R. Guliak46117116113D. Priesol4691181172
WJun 26 · 17:30R. Guliak331111113D. Priesol206590
WJun 26 · 16:30R. Guliak50981111113D. Priesol2911111152
R. Guliak10
WSep 26 · 06:00I. Taichman1.671171041R. Guliak2.1051112113LSep 23 · 21:28E. Gebek1.441114123R. Guliak2.63912100WSep 23 · 20:30M. Kowolowski1.5383111492R. Guliak2.381111612113WSep 23 · 19:30R. Guliak2.5011119113I. Taichman1.50921151LSep 23 · 18:30E. Gebek1.50111111113R. Guliak2.50137971WSep 22 · 21:30J. Peter2.25711341R. Guliak1.5711411113LSep 22 · 20:00V. Bosak1.361111113R. Guliak3.007760WSep 22 · 19:00M. Jasek1.7381130R. Guliak2.001113113WSep 22 · 18:30R. Guliak1.7391111113J. Peter2.00119731LSep 18 · 21:28V. Bosak1.441111133R. Guliak2.6343110
D. Priesol10
LSep 26 · 08:58I. Taichman1.2511911113D. Priesol3.75711891LSep 26 · 07:30D. Priesol3.4013760I. Taichman1.301511113WSep 26 · 06:30F. Zurek2.1010680D. Priesol1.671211113WSep 13 · 13:30T. Hrabec1.55101271352D. Priesol2.3512101111113WSep 13 · 12:00R. Guliak1.33571181D. Priesol3.2511116113LSep 13 · 11:00T. Hrabec1.5311115113D. Priesol2.38691191WSep 13 · 10:30D. Priesol1.8011114113Z. Zientek1.91811191LSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113LSep 12 · 12:00R. Kvasnicka1.731111113113D. Priesol2.0015131162WSep 12 · 11:00A. Schneeberger2.501167101D. Priesol1.5051111123
Upcoming Matches
R. Guliak
Nothing scheduled
D. Priesol
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