TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Jasek vs Daniel Priesol 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115115––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:56 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeMilan Jasek to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Jasek above · Daniel Priesol below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Milan Jasek at 70.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Milan Jasek 5–0 Daniel Priesol Daniel Priesol has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:56What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Jasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Jasek
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jasek 1381 vs Priesol 1391
Priesol
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jasek 60% vs Priesol 40%
Jasek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jasek 50% vs Priesol 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jasek -1 · Priesol -3
Priesol
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jasek) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jasek form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJasek 1.40 / Priesol 2.75
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Jasek)-1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13199163
Jasek1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 25)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Priesol2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 26)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJasek5wins
AwayPriesol0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderJasek leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJasek100%4 of 4
AwayPriesoln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jasek4Priesol1n = 5Jasek took 4 of 5
S2Jasek2Priesol3n = 5Priesol took 3 of 5
S3Jasek5Priesol0n = 5Jasek took 5 of 5
S4Jasek3Priesol1n = 4Jasek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricJasekPriesolJ − PBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match43.230.2+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJasekPriesolBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 256 vs 244 / 47047.7%51.9%122 / 256 vs 244 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JasekJasek 1.40/Priesol 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Jasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 16 · 09:00M. Jasek49119117113D. Priesol3551131152
WAug 16 · 08:30M. Jasek48121411113D. Priesol381016841
WJul 19 · 06:30M. Jasek331111113D. Priesol110830
WJul 10 · 19:00M. Jasek4491311113D. Priesol361111771
WMay 31 · 11:30M. Jasek4211911113D. Priesol31711671
M. Jasek10
LSep 27 · 11:00T. Hrabec1.831111103M. Jasek1.838860LSep 25 · 21:30T. Kraninger1.501111113M. Jasek2.405580WSep 25 · 20:00M. Jasek2.201111113J. Peter1.616770LSep 25 · 19:30T. Kraninger1.571111113M. Jasek2.259990WSep 25 · 18:00M. Jasek1.571111113R. Kvasnicka2.256210WSep 22 · 20:59V. Bosak1.916670M. Jasek1.801111113LSep 22 · 20:30M. Jasek2.00125871J. Peter1.73101111113LSep 22 · 19:00M. Jasek1.7381130R. Guliak2.001113113WSep 22 · 18:00V. Bosak1.83111161072M. Jasek1.83491112113WSep 15 · 21:30J. Peter1.5511211752M. Jasek2.35511511113
D. Priesol10
LSep 27 · 11:30D. Priesol1.5311911862F. Zurek2.38111511113LSep 26 · 08:58I. Taichman1.2511911113D. Priesol3.75711891LSep 26 · 08:30R. Guliak1.441111123D. Priesol2.6389100LSep 26 · 07:30D. Priesol3.4013760I. Taichman1.301511113WSep 26 · 06:30F. Zurek2.1010680D. Priesol1.671211113WSep 13 · 13:30T. Hrabec1.55101271352D. Priesol2.3512101111113WSep 13 · 12:00R. Guliak1.33571181D. Priesol3.2511116113LSep 13 · 11:00T. Hrabec1.5311115113D. Priesol2.38691191WSep 13 · 10:30D. Priesol1.8011114113Z. Zientek1.91811191LSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113
Upcoming Matches
M. Jasek
Nothing scheduled
D. Priesol
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.