TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Jasek vs Radim Kvasnicka 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116112111––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeRadim Kvasnicka to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Jasek above · Radim Kvasnicka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-1
Point 42 set 3, 11-1 — our read held Radim Kvasnicka at 56.1%
42 points played in total.
H2H Milan Jasek 3–1 Radim Kvasnicka Radim Kvasnicka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Jasek
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jasek 1384 vs Kvasnicka 1432
Kvasnicka
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jasek 60% vs Kvasnicka 80%
Kvasnicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jasek 50% vs Kvasnicka 80%
Kvasnicka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jasek +1 · Kvasnicka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Jasek) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvasnicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJasek 1.57 / Kvasnicka 2.25
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Kvasnicka)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13188542
Jasek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 32 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Kvasnicka2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 13 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJasek3wins
AwayKvasnicka1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderJasek leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jasek2Kvasnicka2n = 4split evenly
S2Jasek3Kvasnicka1n = 4Jasek took 3 of 4
S3Jasek2Kvasnicka2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricJasekKvasnickaJ − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match36.831.2+5.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJasekKvasnickaBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 252 vs 63 / 11647.6%54.3%120 / 252 vs 63 / 116Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JasekJasek 1.57/Kvasnicka 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Jasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 18 · 07:00M. Jasek511011811113R. Kvasnicka4212811472
WJul 10 · 20:30M. Jasek331111113R. Kvasnicka228860
WMar 16 · 22:00M. Jasek341211113R. Kvasnicka2610880
LMar 16 · 20:30M. Jasek29101090R. Kvasnicka351212113
M. Jasek10
WSep 22 · 20:59V. Bosak1.916670M. Jasek1.801111113LSep 22 · 20:30M. Jasek2.00125871J. Peter1.73101111113LSep 22 · 19:00M. Jasek1.7381130R. Guliak2.001113113WSep 22 · 18:00V. Bosak1.83111161072M. Jasek1.83491112113WSep 15 · 21:30J. Peter1.5511211752M. Jasek2.35511511113LSep 15 · 20:30M. Jasek1.737880J. Peter2.001111113WSep 15 · 19:00M. Jasek1.731111113J. Stach2.008590WSep 15 · 18:00M. Kolek2.109970M. Jasek1.671111113LSep 13 · 09:30M. Jasek2.2011691172I. Taichman1.60311115113LSep 13 · 08:30T. Kraninger1.5741112113M. Jasek2.251161061
R. Kvasnicka10
WSep 19 · 21:30D. Mikula1.83137981R. Kvasnicka1.83111111113LSep 19 · 20:00R. Kvasnicka2.00111151172D. Mikula1.73513117113WSep 19 · 19:30Z. Zientek2.382911101R. Kvasnicka1.5311119123WSep 19 · 18:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111175113A. Schneeberger2.5088111152WSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113WSep 12 · 12:00R. Kvasnicka1.731111113113D. Priesol2.0015131162LSep 12 · 11:30D. Kolek2.63111148113R. Kvasnicka1.4499111172WSep 12 · 10:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111488113A. Schneeberger2.50112111142WAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102WAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113
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