TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Evald Gebek vs Roman Guliak 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Evald Gebek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113117119117––
Roman Guliak
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:24 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeEvald Gebek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvald Gebek above · Roman Guliak below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 80 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Evald Gebek at 62.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Evald Gebek 2–2 Roman Guliak Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:24What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Gebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gebek 1490 vs Guliak 1415
Gebek
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gebek 60% vs Guliak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gebek 40% vs Guliak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gebek -1 · Guliak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Gebek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGebek 1.50 / Guliak 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Gebek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178908
Gebek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 16) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 29 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it66% 21 of 32
Guliak2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 76 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGebek2wins
AwayGuliak2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGebek33.3%1 of 3
AwayGuliakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gebek3Guliak1n = 4Gebek took 3 of 4
S2Gebek2Guliak2n = 4split evenly
S3Gebek2Guliak2n = 4split evenly
S4Gebek3Guliak1n = 4Gebek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricGebekGuliakGebek − GuliakBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.841.8−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGebekGuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 76 vs 336 / 67656.6%49.7%43 / 76 vs 336 / 676Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GebekGebek 1.50/Guliak 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Gebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 7 · 20:59E. Gebek3811711272R. Guliak51911911113
WAug 7 · 19:30E. Gebek3811115113R. Guliak28481151
WMay 6 · 19:00E. Gebek4291111113R. Guliak34118961
LMay 3 · 06:00E. Gebek4511761562R. Guliak548111113113
E. Gebek10
LSep 23 · 20:00I. Taichman1.67711911113E. Gebek2.1011511352WSep 23 · 19:00M. Kowolowski1.911112771E. Gebek1.8081411113LSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam1.85111199123E. Gebek1.85891111102WSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam1.831112101092E. Gebek1.839101212113LSep 16 · 07:00I. Taichman1.801111123E. Gebek1.9158100WSep 16 · 06:30E. Gebek1.5311815113F. Zurek2.387111391WSep 13 · 09:00E. Gebek1.4571111113T. Kraninger2.55118641LSep 13 · 08:00E. Gebek1.67118116122I. Taichman2.10611411143LSep 13 · 07:30M. Jasek2.20811119113E. Gebek1.6111681182WSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960
R. Guliak10
WSep 23 · 19:30R. Guliak2.5011119113I. Taichman1.50921151WSep 22 · 21:30J. Peter2.25711341R. Guliak1.5711411113LSep 22 · 20:00V. Bosak1.361111113R. Guliak3.007760WSep 22 · 19:00M. Jasek1.7381130R. Guliak2.001113113WSep 22 · 18:30R. Guliak1.7391111113J. Peter2.00119731LSep 18 · 21:28V. Bosak1.441111133R. Guliak2.6343110LSep 18 · 20:00R. Guliak2.6311114232V. Bosak1.44781111113WSep 18 · 19:30M. Kolek2.028111071R. Guliak1.7011612113WSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030LSep 18 · 17:00R. Guliak1.83571191T. Milkov1.8311119113
Upcoming Matches
E. Gebek
Nothing scheduled
R. Guliak
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