TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Roman Guliak vs Ivo Taichman 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119112911115––
Ivo Taichman
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 58.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 20–22 Ivo Taichman Roman Guliak has won 20 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Taichman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-22 in 42
Taichman
Wrong
gap of 2 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1420 vs Taichman 1466
Taichman
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 60% vs Taichman 40%
Guliak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 50% vs Taichman 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak -1 · Taichman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Taichman) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 2.50 / Taichman 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Taichman)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178948
Guliak2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 76 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Taichman1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 95 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 70 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuliak3wins
AwayTaichman7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTaichman leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak40%2 of 5
AwayTaichman80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak5Taichman5n = 10split evenly
S2Guliak5Taichman5n = 10split evenly
S3Guliak3Taichman7n = 10Taichman took 7 of 10
S4Guliak5Taichman3n = 8Guliak took 5 of 8
S5Guliak0Taichman4n = 4Taichman took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuliakTaichmanG − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.239.0−1.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 678 vs 268 / 52049.7%51.5%337 / 678 vs 268 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TaichmanGuliak 2.50/Taichman 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Taichman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 19:30R. Guliak4211119113I. Taichman27921151
LSep 18 · 16:30R. Guliak4712881182I. Taichman501011117113
LAug 8 · 12:30R. Guliak2711790I. Taichman351311113
LJun 25 · 19:00R. Guliak39124111022I. Taichman501011612113
WJun 20 · 15:30R. Guliak3813113113I. Taichman341161161
LJun 6 · 08:30R. Guliak4591111682I. Taichman43113711113
LJun 3 · 14:30R. Guliak4991191372I. Taichman451111111113
LJun 2 · 18:00R. Guliak26112851I. Taichman3851111113
LMay 30 · 12:00R. Guliak2110560I. Taichman341211113
WMay 25 · 21:30R. Guliak3841112113I. Taichman341181051
R. Guliak10
WSep 23 · 20:30M. Kowolowski1.5383111492R. Guliak2.381111612113LSep 23 · 18:30E. Gebek1.50111111113R. Guliak2.50137971WSep 22 · 21:30J. Peter2.25711341R. Guliak1.5711411113LSep 22 · 20:00V. Bosak1.361111113R. Guliak3.007760WSep 22 · 19:00M. Jasek1.7381130R. Guliak2.001113113WSep 22 · 18:30R. Guliak1.7391111113J. Peter2.00119731LSep 18 · 21:28V. Bosak1.441111133R. Guliak2.6343110LSep 18 · 20:00R. Guliak2.6311114232V. Bosak1.44781111113WSep 18 · 19:30M. Kolek2.028111071R. Guliak1.7011612113WSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030
I. Taichman10
WSep 23 · 20:00I. Taichman1.67711911113E. Gebek2.1011511352LSep 23 · 18:00I. Taichman2.0665110M. Kowolowski1.601111133WSep 21 · 12:58I. Taichman1.5711139113P. Varecha2.255111191LSep 21 · 12:00M. Koral1.7311811113I. Taichman2.00711321LSep 21 · 11:00F. Zurek1.831111113I. Taichman1.836940WSep 21 · 10:30I. Taichman1.831212113P. Varecha1.83101090WSep 18 · 17:30I. Taichman1.831118123P. Osvald1.83916100WSep 18 · 16:30I. Taichman1.611011117113R. Guliak2.2012881182WSep 18 · 15:00I. Taichman1.831111113T. Milkov1.837950WSep 18 · 14:00P. Osvald1.80810100I. Taichman1.911112123
Upcoming Matches
R. Guliak
Nothing scheduled
I. Taichman
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