TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Postelt vs Vojtech Koubek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Tomas Postelt
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111214117114115
Vojtech Koubek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingTomas Postelt above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 92 set 5, 11-5
92 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Postelt 22–33 Vojtech Koubek Tomas Postelt has won 22 of their 55 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Koubek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 2.20 / Koubek 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Koubek)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13190520
Postelt2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 60 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back32% 25 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 38
Koubek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 33 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it80% 24 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt5wins
AwayKoubek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt83.3%5 of 6
AwayKoubek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt6Koubek4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S2Postelt4Koubek6n = 10Koubek took 6 of 10
S3Postelt5Koubek5n = 10split evenly
S4Postelt2Koubek1n = 3Postelt took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltKoubekP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.533.3+1.2per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 711 vs 191 / 38347%49.9%334 / 711 vs 191 / 383Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubekPostelt 2.20/Koubek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Koubek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 16:00T. Postelt361411113V. Koubek2312650
WSep 21 · 17:30T. Postelt331111113V. Koubek186570
WSep 21 · 16:30T. Postelt331111113V. Koubek228770
WSep 8 · 14:30T. Postelt511161011133V. Koubek52911129112
LAug 18 · 16:30T. Postelt2677120V. Koubek361111143
LAug 10 · 15:30T. Postelt371171091V. Koubek4391112113
LMay 26 · 17:30T. Postelt4384111192V. Koubek41111135113
LMay 26 · 15:00T. Postelt30101370V. Koubek381215113
WMay 4 · 16:30T. Postelt361213113V. Koubek27101160
LApr 16 · 14:30T. Postelt206770V. Koubek331111113
T. Postelt10
WSep 24 · 16:00T. Postelt2.251411113V. Koubek1.5712650LSep 24 · 15:30J. Vales1.501111113T. Postelt2.508530LSep 24 · 14:00T. Postelt1.7341151452J. Kycelt2.001131112113WSep 21 · 17:30T. Postelt2.381111113V. Koubek1.536570WSep 21 · 16:30T. Postelt2.201111113V. Koubek1.618770WSep 21 · 15:00T. Postelt1.83116115123E. Mares1.83811511102WSep 21 · 14:00J. Zajicek1.4079111192T. Postelt2.75111166113WSep 17 · 03:00M. Zahradka2.5038130T. Postelt1.501111153LSep 17 · 02:30E. Mares1.7310101113183T. Postelt2.001212811162WSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113
V. Koubek10
LSep 24 · 16:00T. Postelt2.251411113V. Koubek1.5712650LSep 24 · 15:00J. Kycelt3.25111110113V. Koubek1.33771291LSep 24 · 14:30V. Koubek2.00125761J. Vales1.73101111113LSep 21 · 17:30T. Postelt2.381111113V. Koubek1.536570LSep 21 · 16:30T. Postelt2.201111113V. Koubek1.618770WSep 21 · 15:30V. Koubek2.6371111113J. Zajicek1.44117551WSep 21 · 14:30E. Mares2.101113117132V. Koubek1.67315411153LSep 16 · 21:28E. Mares2.101111113V. Koubek1.675740LSep 16 · 20:00E. Mares2.0010121111113V. Koubek1.7312149882WSep 16 · 19:00J. Medek1.44411771V. Koubek2.6311911113
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