TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Postelt vs Vojtech Koubek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Tomas Postelt
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412116115––––
Vojtech Koubek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:21 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koubek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Postelt above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 59 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Vojtech Koubek at 54.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Postelt 21–33 Vojtech Koubek Tomas Postelt has won 21 of their 54 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 14:21What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Koubek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-33 in 54
Koubek
Wrong
gap of 12 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1869 vs Koubek 1790
Postelt
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 60% vs Koubek 20%
Postelt
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 60% vs Koubek 40%
Postelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -2 · Koubek -4
Koubek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Koubek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 2.25 / Koubek 1.57
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Koubek)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13183893
Postelt2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 60 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back32% 25 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 38
Koubek1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 33 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it80% 24 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt5wins
AwayKoubek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt83.3%5 of 6
AwayKoubek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt6Koubek4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S2Postelt3Koubek7n = 10Koubek took 7 of 10
S3Postelt4Koubek6n = 10Koubek took 6 of 10
S4Postelt3Koubek1n = 4Postelt took 3 of 4
S5Postelt2Koubek1n = 3Postelt took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltKoubekP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.635.4+0.2per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 710 vs 191 / 38246.9%50%333 / 710 vs 191 / 382Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 2.25/Koubek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Koubek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 17:30T. Postelt331111113V. Koubek186570
WSep 21 · 16:30T. Postelt331111113V. Koubek228770
WSep 8 · 14:30T. Postelt511161011133V. Koubek52911129112
LAug 18 · 16:30T. Postelt2677120V. Koubek361111143
LAug 10 · 15:30T. Postelt371171091V. Koubek4391112113
LMay 26 · 17:30T. Postelt4384111192V. Koubek41111135113
LMay 26 · 15:00T. Postelt30101370V. Koubek381215113
WMay 4 · 16:30T. Postelt361213113V. Koubek27101160
LApr 16 · 14:30T. Postelt206770V. Koubek331111113
WApr 7 · 14:30T. Postelt471141011113V. Koubek4451112882
T. Postelt10
LSep 24 · 15:30J. Vales1.501111113T. Postelt2.508530LSep 24 · 14:00T. Postelt1.7341151452J. Kycelt2.001131112113WSep 21 · 17:30T. Postelt2.381111113V. Koubek1.536570WSep 21 · 16:30T. Postelt2.201111113V. Koubek1.618770WSep 21 · 15:00T. Postelt1.83116115123E. Mares1.83811511102WSep 21 · 14:00J. Zajicek1.4079111192T. Postelt2.75111166113WSep 17 · 03:00M. Zahradka2.5038130T. Postelt1.501111153LSep 17 · 02:30E. Mares1.7310101113183T. Postelt2.001212811162WSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113LSep 16 · 23:30T. Postelt1.73911514102M. Huk2.001171112123
V. Koubek10
LSep 24 · 15:00J. Kycelt3.25111110113V. Koubek1.33771291LSep 24 · 14:30V. Koubek2.00125761J. Vales1.73101111113LSep 21 · 17:30T. Postelt2.381111113V. Koubek1.536570LSep 21 · 16:30T. Postelt2.201111113V. Koubek1.618770WSep 21 · 15:30V. Koubek2.6371111113J. Zajicek1.44117551WSep 21 · 14:30E. Mares2.101113117132V. Koubek1.67315411153LSep 16 · 21:28E. Mares2.101111113V. Koubek1.675740LSep 16 · 20:00E. Mares2.0010121111113V. Koubek1.7312149882WSep 16 · 19:00J. Medek1.44411771V. Koubek2.6311911113WSep 16 · 18:30V. Koubek2.50115711113J. Zajicek1.5071111462
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