Fedir Chashchin vs Vadym Slabyshev 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 24Finished

Fedir Chashchin

Home

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

711119117114––

Vadym Slabyshev

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Vadym Slabyshev to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingFedir Chashchin above · Vadym Slabyshev below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 11-4

Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Vadym Slabyshev at 54.0%

71 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:31

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Slabyshev

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Chashchin 1436 vs Slabyshev 1406

Chashchin

Correct

both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Chashchin 60% vs Slabyshev 80%

Slabyshev

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Chashchin 60% vs Slabyshev 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Chashchin +1 · Slabyshev +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slabyshev)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Slabyshev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChashchin 1.91 / Slabyshev 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Slabyshev)+2.5pp

Setka Cup · #13186337

Chashchin1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog40% won 19 of 47

Down 0–1, comes back29% 8 of 28

Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15

Slabyshev1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricChashchinSlabyshevBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 194 vs 7 / 1652.1%43.8%101 / 194 vs 7 / 16Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Slabyshev

Chashchin 1.91/Slabyshev 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Slabyshev · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Chashchin won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

F. Chashchin10