Vadym Slabyshev vs Valentyn Chumak 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 23Finished

Vadym Slabyshev

Home

2.20

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

811411118119411

Valentyn Chumak

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%

Graded at full time

Valentyn Chumak to win

57.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingVadym Slabyshev above · Valentyn Chumak below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 4-11

Point 88 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Valentyn Chumak at 57.7%

88 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:19

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Chumak

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Slabyshev 1339 vs Chumak 1460

Chumak

Correct

both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Slabyshev 40% vs Chumak 80%

Chumak

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Slabyshev 30% vs Chumak 80%

Chumak

Correct

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Slabyshev +2 · Chumak +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Chumak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Chumak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSlabyshev 2.20 / Chumak 1.61

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Chumak)+0.0pp

Setka Cup · #13180335

Slabyshev2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Chumak1.61

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite58% won 55 of 95

Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it65% 34 of 52

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSlabyshevChumakBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 285 / 54930%51.9%3 / 10 vs 285 / 549Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.938.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Chumak

Slabyshev 2.20/Chumak 1.61

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57.7%

Chumak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Chumak won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

V. Slabyshev10