TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Zbynek Pagac vs Marek Holub 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Zbynek Pagac
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117811311––
Marek Holub
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingZbynek Pagac above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 71 set 4, 3-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Pagac 46–23 Marek Holub Marek Holub has won 23 of their 69 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Pagac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPagac 1.61 / Holub 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Pagac)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13186190
Pagac1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 122 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it95% 54 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 101
Holub2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog42% won 76 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePagac6wins
AwayHolub4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPagac leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePagac66.7%4 of 6
AwayHolub50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pagac6Holub4n = 10Pagac took 6 of 10
S2Pagac5Holub5n = 10split evenly
S3Pagac5Holub5n = 10split evenly
S4Pagac3Holub4n = 7Holub took 4 of 7
S5Pagac2Holub1n = 3Pagac took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPagacHolubP − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.738.2−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPagacHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 686 vs 156 / 33947.8%46%328 / 686 vs 156 / 339Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PagacPagac 1.61/Holub 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Pagac · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 18:30Z. Pagac541361310123M. Holub5511111112102
LSep 17 · 20:59Z. Pagac371112591M. Holub4041411113
WSep 17 · 18:00Z. Pagac331111113M. Holub218850
WSep 16 · 15:00Z. Pagac52131189113M. Holub47116111182
LSep 15 · 17:30Z. Pagac208570M. Holub331111113
WSep 15 · 16:30Z. Pagac4181111113M. Holub30117661
WSep 11 · 14:00Z. Pagac3951112113M. Holub361181071
WSep 3 · 18:00Z. Pagac43111011113M. Holub34712691
LSep 1 · 18:30Z. Pagac121290M. Holub331111113
LAug 31 · 14:00Z. Pagac36111111212M. Holub53991311113
Z. Pagac10
LSep 23 · 20:00R. Hudeczek1.671111113Z. Pagac2.107760LSep 23 · 19:00L. Kern1.401111113Z. Pagac2.758980WSep 23 · 18:30Z. Pagac1.611361310123M. Holub2.2011111112102WSep 21 · 20:58Z. Pagac1.7331111113D. Szotek2.00116981LSep 21 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.7381111113Z. Pagac2.00116731LSep 21 · 19:30Z. Pagac2.50114641M. Chalupa1.5071111113WSep 21 · 18:30D. Szotek1.919780Z. Pagac1.801111113LSep 19 · 13:30M. Chalupa1.441111113Z. Pagac2.639950WSep 19 · 12:30R. Hudeczek1.67111191092Z. Pagac2.10571112113WSep 19 · 11:30Z. Pagac2.50111185113F. Nadymacek1.5079111182
M. Holub10
LSep 23 · 20:30L. Kern1.5711118113M. Holub2.25941191LSep 23 · 19:30M. Holub2.10911681R. Hudeczek1.6711511113LSep 23 · 18:30Z. Pagac1.611361310123M. Holub2.2011111112102WSep 17 · 20:59Z. Pagac1.441112591M. Holub2.6341411113LSep 17 · 20:00M. Holub2.25611951M. Chalupa1.5711811113LSep 17 · 19:30T. Kypr1.531111123M. Holub2.3888100LSep 17 · 18:00M. Holub2.208850Z. Pagac1.611111113LSep 16 · 17:08M. Holub2.50711161T. Kypr1.5011511113WSep 16 · 16:30M. Holub2.38131411113T. Kypr1.53111112992LSep 16 · 15:00M. Holub2.10116111182Z. Pagac1.67131189113
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